Free Sports Picks: Home NFL CBB MLB MMA Boxing Super Bowl
LootMeister College Football Picks
Online SportsbooksBest Sportsbook Bonuses
GTBets

Sound Handicapping

College Football Handicapping Tips: Sound Handicapping and Consistency

By Loot, NCAA Football Handicapper, Lootmeister.com

Sound Handicapping

In college football, we can’t watch all the games. No one has that much time. One result of this can be overly-depending on stats and rankings. And while those are important elements to consider, they alone should not be our guiding light when making picks.

When handicapping a game, we are besieged with stats, rankings, scores, and other data we might over-value when making a selection. In college football, it is hard to be ahead of the game by over-acknowledging obvious facts and figures. The real sharps in the world of NCAA football wagering rely on keen pieces of insight and observation to gain an edge. They don’t just go onto a website and start aimlessly pouring over stats and scores. It’s a lazy way to handicap.

You might have an inkling for a team in a particular game, so you look at the scores of their games this season. You try to look for comparable match-ups, when your team played a team at roughly the same level. Then you might conduct an elementary analysis of the stats. You will notice things like a weak passing “D” facing a robust passing attack, or a tough run “D” facing an offense known for its running prowess.

What ends up happening is that we start shading a game a certain way based on information that has already been accounted for by the bookie. Anything you may have noticed while conducting a face-value review of stats and rankings was already noticed and meted out by the book and reflected in the point-spread. Then you come along and start giving teams more or less credit for things that have already been expertly evaluated. It doesn’t work.

College Football Gambling Tip: It's no longer necessary to lay -110 odds on sporting events! We're pleased to introduce you to the Walmart of sports betting where the prices are cheaper on everything! --> 5Dimes

Another technique that never seems to work is betting blindly on games. Sometimes, you will look at the long list of college football lines and for the most part--everything will seem in order. But then something will make you tilt your head quizzically. A spread or total will just strike you as being out-of-line. And your first instinct may be to make a bet to exploit what you determine to be a soft line.

A lot of times, we go with a feeling based on what really amounts to half-baked observations. Maybe you watched a game the previous week and saw a team play a tough game with a conference opponent. Now this week, they’re 34-point underdogs to a national power. You figure they looked pretty good last week and should be able to beat a 34-point spread, so you make the bet.

We need to understand our limitations. We’re not experts on every conference. And in addition, we’re not likely to outsmart the oddsmakers with casually-made observations that required no real insight or information. And if you do win a few of these, just remember--you picked a heads or tails. If you succeed at it over a few hundred games and then maybe you can brag.

Wagering Consistency

A lot of bettors also make a common mistake of being all over the board with their bet amounts. A lot of handicappers will give out picks, urging you to bet different amounts. But maybe betting the same amount on every game is the way to go. First of all, it simplifies things. You can look at a potential bet in one of two ways. Either it’s a bet you should make or it is not. Simple. It’s hard enough handicapping games. Betting different amounts forces you to also handicap your own picks.

Betting the same amount might seem like drudgery, but Rome wasn’t built in one day. Use your ambition to bet bigger amounts as motivation. If you can build up your bankroll to a certain level, you will be able to go ahead and make those larger bets you dream of making. But that takes patience. It requires you to build up slowly and not put your bankroll in jeopardy.

Even if you are temporarily successful by risking most of your bankroll every week, enjoy it now because it’s only a matter of time before fate catches up to you. If all it takes is one bad weekend for you to be in shambles, no amount of success matters because you’re always teetering on disaster. Stay within your pre-determined framework. Don’t allow ill-timed, super-sized bets to destroy your progress.

Share this article with friends:

Leave a comment:

SAVE BIG MONEY BY BETTING AT -105 REDUCED ODDS!
Quit wasting your hard earned money! Make the switch from -110 to -105 odds today
You'll be so glad that you did! Click Here!
Doc's Sports NCAA Football Picks

College Football Betting

  • BetOnline - Bet on college football games using your credit card at an online sportsbook where it WILL work for deposits and where they offer a generous 50% sign-up bonus!
  • Bovada - One of the oldest and most trusted bookies on the web. A welcoming bonus of 50% up to $250 FREE awaits you!
  • GTBets - Deposit $150 and get $150 FREE! One of the best promotions on the web allows you to pick your (2) favorite NCAA football teams and receive a FREE point every time you bet those teams!
  • Know Your Key Numbers - This is a fancy term for common margin of victory. It's very important that you know these before placing your bets!
  • 2017/2018 College Football Predictions - Odds for each team to win the college football playoff along with predictions of teams that have a legit shot of winning it all, including a longshot pick.
  • 2017 Heisman Trophy Odds - Picks to Win - College football pundits are expecting either Sam Darnold or Baker Mayfield to win the Heisman this year. Loot takes a look at these and other names that offer tremendous wagering value.

MISC.

  • College Football Conferences - List of all NCAA football conferences including the teams that make up each conference.
  • Heisman Trophy Winners - A complete list of Heisman Trophy winners (college football's best player award) in chronological order, dating back to 1935.
  • Famous College Football Coaches - Behind every great team is an even better coach. Check out Loot's picks for the greatest of all-time.

Other Cool Sites

Reduced Juice Sports Betting 100% Sportsbook Bonus Best Parlay Odds Online