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Georgia Bulldogs vs. Auburn Tigers Point Spread - Pick

Georgia Bulldogs (9-0 SU, 6-3 ATS) vs. Auburn Tigers (7-2 SU, 4-3-2 ATS)
College Football Week 11
Date/Time: Saturday, November 11, 2017 at 3:30PM EST
Where: Jordan-Hare Stadium, Auburn, Alabama
TV: CBS

By Loot, NCAA Football Handicapper, Lootmeister.com

Point Spread: UGA -2.5/AUB +2.5
Over/Under Total: 51.5

The Georgia Bulldogs come to Jordan-Hare Stadium for a big SEC matchup with the Auburn Tigers. The Bulldogs moved to 9-0 with a 24-10 win at home over South Carolina on Saturday. But they face a difficult road test this week against a 7-2 Auburn bunch. After three straight road games, the Tigers return home for this big matchup. They have won their last two games, beating Arkansas and Texas A&M on Saturday, 42-27. With so many different new faces and conditions at play, it's questionable how much Georgia's 13-7 win over Auburn last season matters, but we could see another matchup where the defenses shine a little brighter than on the other side of the ball.

Auburn hasn't been that far off from being really good. A week two 14-6 loss to Clemson and a 27-23 road loss at LSU are the only setbacks of the season from the Tigers. They have looked good in their past two games with heavyweight beatings of Arkansas and A&M last week. They can really run the heck out the ball and have gotten a boost at the QB position this season. And they play defense, allowing an average of just 16.9 points per game. They have a lot of balance on both sides of the ball and should be expected to be tough at home this week, where they have been lethal against SEC schools this season.

Having Jarrett Stidham at quarterback has been a big improvement for Auburn, Against Texas A&M, he was 20-for-27 passing with three touchdowns and no picks on 268 yards. That's the kind of performance at quarterback the Tigers have been missing in recent seasons. Helping it come together is a great run-game led by Kerryon Johnson, who has 16 touchdowns on the season with a nice assist from Kam Martin. On Saturday, Johnson had a score on the ground and through the air. Aerially, Stidham works well with Darius Slayton, Ryan Davis, Will Hastings, Kyle Davis, and Kyle Stove. They are averaging 37 points a game and with a defense giving up less that 17, that's a good equation for the Tigers.

Against the dangerous A&M offense, the Auburn "D" had its ups and downs, eventually giving the offense enough room to pull away with the nice win. For the most part, they were able to keep the Aggies' playmakers in check. Their main pass-rusher LB Jeff Holland was getting after it as usual, with TD Moultry getting a sack. Defensive backs Jeremiah Dinson and Tray Matthews brought the heat in the secondary, with Derrick Brown and Marlon Davidson getting the job done up-front.

Georgia was the top team in the first CFP rankings and have the world in their hands at 9-0. But untested at the higher levels, there still seems to be some looming doubt as to whether or not they're a truly top team. Testing that notion from a betting-angle could prove to be costly. They had a week two road win over Notre Dame, 20-19, but that's really about it. Still, a 42-7 win over Florida is the kind of dominant win over a conference team that suggests a lot of power. Things start getting real this week against a tough home Auburn bunch. They can run the heck out of the ball and they play great defense across all areas. They look to continue applying that winning formula this week in a tough road game.

Jake Fromm, a true freshman, has run this Georgia offense smoothly. He has thrown 15 touchdowns against just 4 picks and they don't ask him to be a hero. He just has to poke away, let the run-game do a lot of the heavy-lifting, and not make a lot of mistakes. They can really pound defenses into submission with a big run-game. On Saturday, Nick Chubb, Sony Michel, and D'Andre Swift all had success on the ground. Terry Godwin and Javon Wims were productive through the air with Fromm a bit more aerially-inclined with two TD throws on 16-for-22 passing. They have a nice group of playmakers around Fromm who can do damage, with different guys stepping up in different weeks to help the Georgia offense score an average of 37 points a game.

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The Georgia defense has been big this season, a big part of why they are where they are heading down the final stretch of the regular season. They have allowed an average of just 11.9 points a game. They are stout against both the pass and the run. Six times this season, they have allowed 14 or fewer points. South Carolina couldn't run the ball against the group and a lot of opposing ground-games have found that to be the case this season. LB Roquan Smith had 1.5 sacks, while JR Reed and Malkom Parrish had picks. There are a lot of difference-makers on this side of the ball and they will tested to a higher degree this week than what they have been accustomed in recent games.

This is a tough one to call. Auburn looks to be in a good spot to perhaps make some big things happen at home in a game where they could really make their mark. And while Georgia has flaunted a tough defense, Auburn's "D" is a handful and will make life hard on Georgia this week. At the end of the day, I see the variety in Georgia's run-game being a difference-maker, as the Bulldogs get the win.

Loot's Prediction to Cover the Point Spread: I'm betting on the Georgia Bulldogs minus 2.5 points. Bet the Georgia vs. Auburn game for FREE by taking advantage of a massive 100% sign-up bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $500 at GTBets!

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