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Oklahoma Sooners vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys Point Spread - Pick

Oklahoma Sooners (7-1 SU, 4-4 ATS) vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys (7-1 SU, 5-3 ATS)
College Football Week 10
Date/Time: Saturday, November 4, 2017 at 4PM EDT
Where: Boone Pickens Stadium, Stillwater, Oklahoma
TV: Fox Sports One

By Loot, NCAA Football Handicapper,

Point Spread: OKLA +3/OSU -3
Over/Under Total: 74.5

The Oklahoma State Sooners come to Stillwater for an in-state Big 12 matchup with the Oklahoma State Cowboys. On Saturday, the Cowboys moved to 7-1 on the season with another high-octane output in a 50-39 win over tough West Virginia. They look to upgrade their profile this week against an incoming Sooners squad that is coming off an easy 49-21 win over Texas Tech on Saturday. The win also lifted them to 7-1. The winner of this game will be among the 1-loss teams with the best resume. Who can get it done in Stillwater?

Last season, these teams met in Norman with the Sooners posting a 38-20 win. Oklahoma State's Mason Rudolph had one of his worst games as a Cowboy, going just 11-for-25 passing. Baker Mayfield, the Sooners quarterback, threw for three touchdowns and the Sooners ran over the Oklahoma State defense with their run-game. A lot has changed since that matchup, with the Cowboys looking a lot stronger overall. This should be a good one.

Oklahoma State has been really good this season, except for that loss well over a month ago to TCU. Other than that, they've been laying Big 12 opponents to waste and they look forward to returning home after winning two on the road against Texas and West Virginia. They did give up 39 to West Virginia and their defense is exploitable, but they make a lot of plays and there have been times this season when they've played better. The offense, meanwhile, is a high-flying group, with QB Mason Rudolph in fine form this season with a deep cast of difference-makers on that side of the ball. This is a real litmus test for the Cowboys and a win here could make some big things possible down the line. A lot comes down to this game.

The Oklahoma State offense is one of the best in the country. While some might perceive them as being one-dimensional with so much production coming aerially, they can also run the ball. Banged-up, Justice Hill still ran for 86 yards and two touchdowns, with young back JD King going for 142 yards and a TD against WVU last week. Receiver James Washington went over 1000 yards in the game and is one of the best in the country, with major help coming from Marcell Ateman, Jalen McCleskey, and Dillon Stoner, among others. This offense specializes in letting a lot of different players shine. And they're pretty consistent. In 6 of 8 games this season, they've scored between 41 and 59 points.

The perception of Oklahoma State as being a typical Big 12 team that is heavy on offense and weak on defense isn't altogether unfounded. But that description falls short of really describing the defense for the Cowboys. In three games this season, they've been victimized, but have otherwise been pretty stout. Granted, those were against some of the better offenses they faced this season and Oklahoma is one of those. In the secondary, they have difference-makers like Ramon Richards, Tre Flowers, and Rodarius Williams. It's a defense that can change the game and score. Their pass-rushing hasn't been that good, while the front has been good against the run, with DE Jordan Brailford and DT Dequinton Osbourne getting some credit for that.


Oklahoma looks to be back on the right track after losing to Iowa State on October 7. The win over Texas Tech was their third in a row and their most conclusive win since that loss. They won two tough ones on the road, before returning home for the win on Saturday. They now take to the road again for what would really be a huge win that would put the Sooners back in the thick of things. And from an opposition standpoint, it probably helped their cause that Iowa State beat another top-five team in TCU this past week, while one of their victims in Ohio State beat an undefeated Penn State team. In any event, this is big for OU.

Oklahoma had a battle on their hands on Saturday, with Texas Tech taking a 21-20 lead into the second quarter. Some adjustments were made and soon, Baker Mayfield was hitting his targets with regularity, as the run-game also surfaced. Running back Abdul Adams returned from an ankle injury and ran for 95 yards with Rodney Anderson running for a robust 181 yards and a TD in his first career start. Freshman receiver CeeDee Lamb was big on the day with 147 yards and a pair of TD grabs. Mayfield ended the day with four TD passes and one that he ran in. He also connected with Marquise Brown and Mark Andrews on touchdown passes. No team puts up more yards than Oklahoma this season.

The Oklahoma defense made some nice adjustments after a rough start on Saturday. In the game's first 12 minutes, they gave up 20 points, but then held Texas Tech to just 7 points in the last 48 minutes of action. As we have seen this season, the Oklahoma defense can be exploited and a handful of conference teams have done that so far this year. They also have a pretty high ceiling and have shown that in spots, like when they held Ohio State to 16 points. But as far as national contenders, it's not a great defense. They don't rush the passer with any consistency and coming up with game-changing plays like turnovers hasn't been easy.

This looks to be a high-octane shootout between two of the more-explosive offenses in the nation. Both teams have different things they can exploit. This has the feel of a game where any number of different possibilities seem plausible. I see Mason Rudolph stepping up in this big moment, with Oklahoma State getting the cover and win.

Loot's Prediction to Cover the Point Spread: I'm betting on the Oklahoma State Cowboys minus 3 points. Did you know... that you could be wagering on the Oklahoma vs. Oklahoma State game at discounted odds? There's a better than good chance that you're laying -110 odds (or more) with your book. Stop overpaying TODAY by making the switch to 5Dimes Sportsbook! You will be so glad that you did!

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