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TCU Horned Frogs vs. Oklahoma Sooners Point Spread - Pick

TCU Horned Frogs (8-1 SU, 5-4 ATS) vs. Oklahoma Sooners (8-1 SU, 5-4 ATS)
College Football Week 11
Date/Time: Saturday, November 11, 2017 at 8PM EST
Where: Memorial Stadium, Norman, Oklahoma
TV: Fox

By Loot, NCAA Football Handicapper, Lootmeister.com

Point Spread: TCU -7/OKLA -7
Over/Under Total: 66.5

The TCU Horned Frogs come to Norman for a high-stakes Big 12 matchup with the Oklahoma Sooners. On Saturday, Oklahoma scored another big win, out-dueling a high-powered Oklahoma State team to go to 8-1 on the season. With 785 yards of total offense, the Sooners were able to pin a 62-52 win over the once-beaten Cowboys. They can score yet another big win this week and add a lot of credence to their CFP hopes with a win over a TCU team that also moved to 8-1 on Saturday and whose only setback on the season was also an upset loss to Iowa State. TCU beat Texas, 24-7, on Saturday and could add a huge win to their ledger this week in Norman.

Oklahoma is putting together a nice resume. The upset road loss to Iowa State was a bad development, but with wins over Ohio State and Oklahoma State, they have beaten some high-ranked teams, along with a handful of high-quality wins over conference foes like Texas, Kansas State, and Texas Tech. They really showed their class against Oklahoma State, a game many felt they wouldn't win. The offense was out-of-control with a huge showing by QB Baker Mayfield. And while the defense was run over in spots, both against the run and the pass, they showed their quality by stopping just short of allowing a total feeding frenzy, holding the Cowboys scoreless in the last ten minutes of the fourth quarter to score a most-satisfying road win.

With nearly 800 yards of total offense, the Sooners were in fine form on Saturday. Baker Mayfield seemingly couldn't miss at times in putting together 598 yards passing and five touchdowns on just 24 completions. He also ran in a score on the day. The run-game wasn't always effective, but by the end of the day, Rodney Anderson and Trey Sermon combined for nearly 200 yards and a couple scores. Aerially, there was room for a lot of players to shine. Marquise Brown had 265 yards and two big touchdowns. Mark Andrews was over 100 yards, while Dmitri Flowers, Jeff Badet and Anderson also caught touchdown passes.

Taking the Oklahoma defense to task for their porous play against the Cowboys on Saturday is missing the point. It was going to be a shootout and that was known going in. They were victimized and it was pretty easy for Oklahoma State to move the ball on the ground and through the air. After all, Mason Rudolph threw for 448 yards, while Justice Hill ran for 228 and two scores. Again, they tightened up when they needed to in order to ensure the win. DJ Ward and Ogbonnia Okoronkwo each registered sacks, with Okoronkwo also recovering a fumble. Linebacker Emmanuel Beal made a lot of plays. And while they were gashed aerially, defensive backs Will Johnson and Robert Barnes both had interceptions on the day.

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TCU was also rolling along nicely until running into upset-minded Iowa State. But they've also scored some nice wins. Other than Oklahoma last week, TCU was the only team to beat Oklahoma State this season, also posting good wins over SMU, West Virginia, Kansas State, and Texas on Saturday. Texas has been doing well and their recent losses to top teams were very close. For TCU to take them out of the game and hold them to 7 points is a nice development heading into a game of this magnitude.

With just 31 points total in their last two games, the TCU offense has lost a bit of its zip recently. Prior to that, they were getting it done both aerially and on the ground and putting up a lot of points. They were definitely off against Iowa State a few weeks ago in their only loss of the season and Texas has been keeping offenses tamed for much of the season, so that's nothing new. Kenny Hill has generally been very good at quarterback for the Horned Frogs this season, completing 68% of his throws and now over 2000 yards. He has thrown 15 TD passes and run in a few, to boot. His top targets are John Diarse, Jalen Reagor, Desmon White, and KaVontae Turpin. On the ground, they rely on Darius Anderson, who has 726 yards and 7 touchdowns. Kyle Hicks is also a contributor on the ground and had two touchdowns on Saturday, with Anderson also scored with 99 yards rushing.

The first impression when one thinks of TCU is to think heavy on offense and light on defense. That hasn't really been the case this season, with Texas Christian giving up an average of less than 14 points a game, while limiting teams to an average of fewer than 70 yards per game in rushing yardage. In their last 4 games, they have given up a combined 27 points. We've seen some run-games get grounded against this group. They did give up 31 to Oklahoma State and 36 to a good SMU offense earlier this season, so they're probably not up to the task of suffocating Oklahoma's offense, but they should be tough on them.

This is a good matchup on a lot of levels. Both teams have strengths and drawbacks that should combine for a game that is high in entertainment value, while being somewhat difficult to call. It's hard to argue with TCU's results on defense lately, though Oklahoma has shown they are a different animal with an offense that can't really be stopped, only contained. I see Oklahoma and TCU having a bit of a shootout, with TCU's offense not able to outleg the Sooners. I'll lay the points on Oklahoma.

Loot's Prediction to Cover the Point Spread: I'm betting on the Oklahoma Sooners minus 7 points. Tired of your credit card not working for sportsbook deposit? End that problem today and bet the Horned Frogs vs. Sooners game by signing up at Bovada Sportsbook where your credit card WILL work and where you'll receive a generous 50% sign-up bonus!

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