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Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Miami Hurricanes Point Spread - Pick

Virginia Tech Hokies (7-1 SU, 5-3 ATS) vs. Miami Hurricanes (7-0 SU, 3-4 ATS)
College Football Week 10
Date/Time: Saturday, November 4, 2017 at 8PM EDT
Where: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami, Florida
TV: ABC

By Loot, NCAA Football Handicapper, Lootmeister.com

Point Spread: VT -2.5/MIA +2.5
Over/Under Total: 49

The Virginia Tech Hokies come to Hard Rock Stadium to face the Miami Hurricanes on Saturday in a big ACC matchup. The 'Canes are sitting pretty at 7-0 and some big things are now on the table for the Hurricanes. This is a big matchup for them, one of their more-difficult matchups of the season. On Saturday, Miami had a game on their hands, beating North Carolina, 24-19. Things should be tough at home this week against a Hokies squad that is 7-1, coming off a nice 24-3 home win over Duke. This would be huge, as Miami leads the division and a win here would put the Hokies right in the thick for some really big things, as well. This is a high-stakes game for both teams.

A 7-0 record is what speaks loudest for Miami. All a team can do is handle their schedule the best they can. And in Mark Richt's second season at the helm, he has this team in the best standing they've had in years. Granted, they have been spared some of the heavy-hitters in the conference. They are coming off wins over Florida State, Georgia Tech, Syracuse, and North Carolina—all one-score games. So it's understandable that people are withholding praise, but with this game, a matchup with Notre Dame, and a possible spot in the ACC title game in the future, they will have more than ample opportunity to showcase what they can do against the better teams.

The Miami offense has been a pretty lively group this season, with an aerial-attack that averages nearly 300 yards a game, along with enough menace on the ground to keep opposing defenses honest. QB Malik Rosier has risen to the occasion given the chance to start this season and he has 17 TD throws with just 4 picks on over 2000 yards passing. He had 356 yards against North Carolina with three TD throws. His favorite targets are Braxton Berrios, Ahmmon Richards, Christopher Herndon, IV., and Jeff Thomas, among others. Young Travis Homer has been providing a lion's share of the work done on the ground, with Rosier adding some useful scampers along the way. They've been pretty consistent lately, scoring 24-31 points in each of their last five games.

The Miami Hurricanes defense has been pretty adept at limiting point-totals, even if opponents put yards up against them. They haven't been that good against the run and that seems to be a possible sore-point that could haunt them later. Still, they play their best late in games, while often times stepping up and putting a sudden end to drives. They get a nice push up-front with Trent Harris, RJ McIntosh, and Demetrius Jackson, while the middle is well-manned with Shaquille Quarterman and Michael Pinckney. Their big playmaker in the secondary is Michael Jackson. This unit will be tested this week and we'll see how they hold up as the level of difficulty starts ramping up.

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Virginia Tech has been pretty solid this season in winning 7 of their 8 games, losing only to defending champion Clemson. Three straight wins have followed that loss, as they have beaten Boston College, North Carolina, and Duke in consecutive weeks. They gave up a total of 20 combined points in those three games. They are among the best in the country in allowing just 11.5 points on average over the course of the season. Making it really stick is their balance on both sides of the ball. There might not be anything they do great, but they do everything well.

The Hokies' offense is led by a good redshirt freshman in QB Josh Jackson. He went over 2000 yards against Duke and now has 17 TD throws against just four picks. He has also run in a couple scores. Also on the ground, Travon McMillian, Coleman Fox, and Deshawn McClease have provided some production. There has been good variety in the aerial game, with eight different ball-catchers in triple-digits in receiving yards, led by Cam Phillips and speedy freshman Sean Savoy. The offense averages a respectable 35 points per game and with this defense, that's going to be good enough most of the time. They're not going to knock your socks off, but they are steadfast and don't make many mistakes.

Longtime VT defensive coordinator Bud Foster has this Hokies' defense in fine form heading into this game. In half of their games, the opponent has scored 7 or fewer points, including two shutouts. With ten combined points allowed in their last two games, they are really in high-gear now. In the middle, Tremaine and Terrell Edmunds have been very active, along with running-mate Andrew Motuapuaka. Trevon Hill has been impactful on the line, along with good run-stoppers in big defensive tackle Tim Settle and Ricky Walker. In the secondary, Mook Reynolds, Reggie Floyd, and others have been very effective.

To side with Virginia Tech on the basis of Miami having played a soft schedule is not an entirely-faulty premise. By the same token, the only real substantive difference in the two teams' schedules is Virginia Tech having played Clemson—a game that wasn't even as close as the 31-17 score would indicate. I see a competitive game for Tech, especially on the road against a team that is playing good defense. I picture a slog with this one going "under."

Loot's Prediction to Cover the Point Spread: I'm betting that the Virginia Tech vs. Miami game goes under 49 points. Tired of your credit card not working for sportsbook deposit? End that problem today and bet the Hokies vs. Hurricanes game by signing up at Bovada Sportsbook where your credit card WILL work and where you'll receive a generous 50% sign-up bonus!

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