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2017 MVP Odds and Picks

2017 NFL MVP Odds and Picks

By Loot, NFL Football Handicapper,

We like making bets on who will win the MVP in pro football. And when scouting the odds to win the 2017 NFL MVP, we see a lot of big-name candidates. It's a rare bet that allows us to focus on individual player achievement, as most NFL props and futures focus on team play. Sometimes, an NFL observer can sense when a player is due to have a really special season. And this is a bet that allows you to back that sentiment with a bet.

There are some potential drawbacks to this bet. One is that your money will be tied up for a number of weeks, depending on when you make this wager. Most bets have a lot quicker turnover and we understand the hesitance on some bettor's parts to have their money tied up for a long period of time. Also, this is an "all-or-nothing" type of proposition. Only one winner league-wide is crowned. Not only must the player you pick have a special season, he probably needs to do it on a team that also does well and he needs people to vote for him. We feel, however, that the benefits of this bet far outweigh the drawbacks.

Again, this is a bet that allows you to focus on individuals and whatever insight you've generated on those players. With one winner in the entire league, the payouts can be quite handsome, even with the more-celebrated choices on the betting board. A bet on who will win the NFL MVP in 2017 packs a lot of action into one bet. Rather than making a bet that's decided in a few hours, these MVP prop bets last all season, as you have a vested interest in all of that player's games.

We should offer a few pointers about the choices you make. Again, this is an award that only one player can win. It's wise to insulate yourself from issues by spreading around the action some. Bet on some different guys. First of all, the high odds justify making multiple selections. And in case of an injury, suspension, or just a subpar season, you have other guys who can still deliver a profit.

It's also good to know what to look for. We won't say quarterbacks are the only worthwhile candidates, but they have won the award in 9 of the last 10 seasons. Some repeat winners are again atop the odds in 2017—guys like Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers. The last two winners of the award, Cam Newton in 2015 and Matt Ryan in 2016, look to join the ranks of repeat winners this season. In addition, more weight should be given to candidates from teams expected to do well. Not that a player from a so-so team can't win the MVP, but it's easier for a member of the New England Patriots than it is for a Jacksonville Jaguar. With no further adieu, here are the odds to win the MVP award in 2017:

Betting Odds to Win the NFL Most Valuable Player in 2017:
Tom Brady +400
Aaron Rodgers +700
Derek Carr +900
Ben Roethlisberger +1200
Dak Prescott +1200
Russell Wilson +1200
Matt Ryan +1600
Ezekiel Elliott +2000
Cam Newton +2500
Andrew Luck +2500
Drew Brees +2500
David Johnson +3300
Marcus Mariota +3300
Antonio Brown +5000
Julio Jones +5000
Carson Palmer +5000
Sam Bradford +5000
Matt Stafford +5000
Eli Manning +5000
Philip Rivers +5000
Adrian Peterson +5000
Kirk Cousins +5000
Le'Veon Bell +5000
Alex Smith +6600
Jameis Winston +6600
Ryan Tannehill +6600
Odell Beckham Jr. +6600
J.J. Watt +6600
Rob Gronkowski +6600
Khalil Mack +6600
T.Y. Hilton +10000
Von Miller +10000
Andy Dalton +10000
Carson Wentz +10000
Joe Flacco +10000
Marshawn Lynch +10000
LeSean McCoy +10000
Blake Bortles +10000
DeMarco Murray +10000

A Word About the Odds: The odds to win the MVP in the NFL are expressed on the money line. All the choices are underdog picks, meaning you stand to get more than you bet if you win. All choices are indicated with a plus-sign and the number you see next to the plus-sign is how much you would win if you bet $100. It's a nice round number that makes it easy to understand the odds. You don't have to bet $100, mind you, as you can bet any amount and the odds would break down to that number. For example, Aaron Rodgers is +700, meaning a $100 bet on him would yield $700 in winnings. Meanwhile, a bet on TY Hilton at +10000 would earn you a cool ten grand on a $100 bet. Here are some of our best picks.

Our Top Favorite Picks to Win the MVP:

Tom Brady (+400): The betting value isn't great for the former repeat winner, but Brady is always up there. Probably would have won last season if not for the 4-game suspension. With a full season ahead of him and the urgency of a waning career setting in, Brady could have a big season. If Rob Gronkowski can stay relatively healthy and Brandin Cooks delivers, +400 odds might not be looking that bad come December.

Aaron Rodgers (+700): When he's on, he still might be the best in the game. There were some odd moments last season, before Rodgers basically willed himself and the team into the conference championship game. Some more consistency this season and better breaks in certain personnel areas and the injury front should have Rodgers in this conversation come season's end.

Derek Carr (+900): We've been seeing growth in each of his first three seasons. He threw just 6 picks against 28 touchdowns last season and showed he is capable of putting up MVP numbers. With Beast Mode now in tow, maybe the offense gets another boost and enables Carr and the Raiders to take that next step.

Ben Roethlisberger (+1200): When picking a choice with odds of just 12-1, you'd like to see a player who is more bankable to get through 16 games unscathed. Nevertheless, with some breaks on the injury front, Roethlisberger should put up gigantic stats that will be hard to ignore if the Steelers can put it together this season.

Our Top Middle-of-the-Road Picks to Win the MVP:

Andrew Luck (+2500): The Colts are another team that has been in the dumps and could get an upsurge this season. Luck is capable of putting up the numbers, but he just needs to stay healthy and get improved play around him. The Colts and Luck are maybe not as far off as some think.


Drew Brees (+2500): The addition of a dependable back in Peterson and a defense that will offer more support, Brees might have a good enough team around him to give his always-huge stats extra teeth this season. The Saints could be a big surprise this season and if they go far, Brees will get a lot of the credit.

Our Top Long-Shot Picks to Win the MVP:

Marcus Mariota (+3300): They went from a team with 5 combined wins in two seasons to a 9-win season in 2016. If that upward trajectory continues and Mariota is a big part of that success, these 33-to-1 odds will be looking mighty juicy by season's end.

Matthew Stafford (+5000): He never misses a game and has racked up 6 straight seasons with at least 4200 yards passing. That's not bad for a 50/1 choice. And if this offense can find another gear, he could really put up some numbers. He's also doing it on a team that has shown signs of breaking out recently. Things could line up well for Stafford in 2017. Did you know... that you could be wagering on who will win the NFL Most Valuable Player at discounted odds? There's a better than good chance that you're laying inflated odds with your book. Stop overpaying TODAY by making the switch to 5Dimes Sportsbook! You will be so glad that you did!

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