Free Sports Picks: Home CFB CBB MLB MMA Boxing Super Bowl
LootMeister NFL Picks
Online SportsbooksBest Sportsbook Bonuses

Atlanta Falcons vs. Denver Broncos Point Spread - Pick

Atlanta Falcons (3-1 SU, 3-1 ATS) vs. Denver Broncos (4-0 SU, 4-0 ATS)
Week 5 NFL
Date/Time: Sunday, October 9, 2016 at 4:05PM EST
Where: Sports Authority Field at Mile High, Denver, Colorado
TV: Fox

By Loot, NFL Football Handicapper,

Betting Odds: ATL +6/DEN -6
Over/Under Total: 47

The Atlanta Falcons come to Mile High on Sunday to face the Denver Broncos. Both teams are in fine form after the first quarter of the season. Denver is unbeaten and Atlanta has won three straight after a week one loss. In the last three weeks, these teams are 6-0 both straight-up and ATS. On Sunday, an Atlanta offensive track meat ensued with the Falcons clubbing the defending conference champion Panthers, 48-33. Denver stayed unbeaten on the road with a 27-7 win over Tampa. They had some anxious moments with QB Trevor Siemian going down with an injured shoulder, but it looks like he will be a go for this game.

It's starting to look like you could put anyone behind center for the Broncos and it would work. Siemian has thrived in this role, a 7th round draft pick that was completely off-the-radar. And when he went down on Sunday, raw rookie Paxton Lynch came in and did a commendable job with 170 yards and a score. They've been getting a lot of help from a terrific defense that looks better than ever.

The Denver offense is not that great, but they get the most out of what they have. Siemian might not be the most aerially-inclined passer and probably could make a more consistent connection with Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders, both of whom hauled in TD passes on Sunday. The run-game is hit-and-miss with CJ Anderson and Devontae Booker. But they create points and the offense looks to be settling into a unit that is usually going to put up enough points to let the "D" do its thing.

The Denver defense really showed its teeth on Sunday. Tampa QB Jameis Winston is certainly mistake-prone, but he's usually pretty explosive and he could only manage 179 yards and two picks, both to Denver corner Aqib Talib. This continues a trend of opposing quarterbacks seeing their stats dip considerably when playing this defense. They've given up a scant 24 points in their last two games. Von Miller, Shane Ray, and Derek Wolfe have applied a consistent pass-rush. They've gotten 8 turnovers and are just a very impactful and stingy group. Coming off a 32-point output against the tough Rams' defense the week before, the Bucs could get absolutely nothing for the final 3.5 quarters against the Broncos defense in week four.

The Broncos are off to fast start and it has made people rethink where they stand as a defending Super Bowl champion. It was widely assumed that after climbing to the mountaintop last season that we'd see the descent in 2016. So far, they've been stubborn in that regard. The only thing that changed was the quarterback, but that wasn't such a big part of their championship season. They didn't ride a big arm to the Vince Lombardi Trophy. Sure, it seemed that they'd miss the mental acumen of Manning, but Siemian has been up to the task and if he's unable to handle the physical rigors of a full NFL season, Lynch offered a nice glimpse on Sunday.

The Denver defense may be tested this week against an Atlanta offense that looks to have hit a nice groove. After a big 45 points against the Saints in week three MNF action, the Falcons went nuts against the Panthers at home on Sunday. QB Matt Ryan put up 503 yards through the air, with Julio Jones adding 300 receiving yards to the cause. Aldrick Thomas, Jacob Tamme, and Austin Hooper caught TD passes, while Devonta Freeman ran one in. This offense looks like the real deal, even when reflecting on Atlanta's 5-0 start last season that ended up falling flat. Something about this offense looks more bankable. They're not dependent on any one thing, as the production is liable to come from anywhere. Right now, this is the top offense in the league.


Atlanta's offensive outbursts have helped make it less visible that the defense lags far behind the offense at this point. That's somewhat surprising, considering that head coach Dan Quinn forged his rep as coordinator for the monstrous Seattle defense. They are readily exploitable through the air, having given up some huge performances this season, albeit to some teams that were playing from behind that were throwing on every down out of necessity. The lack of a pass-rush has left their secondary a bit naked. And we'll see how they do against the Denver run, especially late after 2 or 3 quarters in that altitude.

It's not clear how much it matters, but Atlanta is out of their element this week. In addition to the altitude and fact that they're facing a top defense, they're in a different conference in a road game where sometimes things don't translate as well as they do in the Georgia Dome. It's just a jarring discrepancy to go from the indoor fast track in Atlanta to the foreign outdoor mountainous cavern where the Broncos "D" awaits. At the same time, Denver isn't going to win every game this season and Atlanta could really lend some credibility to their case with a win here. It would really bolster their status. Maybe Atlanta's defense will be less-vulnerable against this particular offense. And while the Denver defense is great, can they shut down Atlanta? I think the Broncos come down to earth a bit, at least enough to allow the Falcons to cover the spread.

Loot's Prediction to Cover the Point Spread: I'm betting on the Atlanta Falcons plus 6 points. Tired of your credit card not working for sportsbook deposit? End that problem today by signing up and betting the Falcons vs. Broncos game at Bovada Sportsbook where your credit card WILL work and where you'll receive a generous 100% sign-up bonus!

Share this article with friends:

Leave a comment:

Quit wasting your hard earned money! Make the switch from -110 to -105 odds today
You'll be so glad that you did! Click Here!
Doc's Sports NFL Picks

NFL Betting

  • Reduced Juice - Loot explains how reduced odds football betting works and where you can find this valuable asset.
  • What is a Point Spread? - Many new to the game struggle to understand why one side has a (+) while the other has a (-) in front of a team. We explain what the spread is and how it works.
  • Football Bets - All the different types of wagers that you can make when betting on football games.
  • What Professional Handicappers Do - Learn the tricks of the trade and increase your odds of beating the books!
  • Key Numbers - The article that bookies don't want you to read!
  • NFL Betting Quiz - Test your football wagering prowess with Loot's 10 question quiz!
  • Super Bowl 52 Predictions - Loot gives his preseason picks for which teams are most likely to win "the big game" along with middle of the road and a longshot that is sure to surprise you!
  • 2017 NFL Season Wins Predictions - Loot breaks down every team and gives his opinion on how they'll do vs. the number!
  • 2017 NFL Bye Weeks - The first set start in Week 5 and the final byes take place in Week 11. Loot also gives tips on betting on teams coming off byes.
  • 2017 NFL Coaching Changes - We seem to be in an era where football coaches become disposable in an instant if they don't win. 2016 was no different as a handful of teams made the switch. Check out who went where right here!


  • Famous Football Players - Biographies of the best and greatest NFL football players of all-time.
  • Greatest NFL Players of All Time - A list of all time greats at each position. Each position has it's own dedicated article!
  • Best Quarterbacks of All Time - Joe Montana heads our list of top 10 QB's, however, Tom Brady is a sure bet to give him a run for his money by the time his career is said and done.
  • Best Running Backs of All Time - We list the top 10 greatest ball carriers of all-time. The order may be debatable, as Jim Brown, Barry Sanders and Walter Payton all brought something special to the gridiron.
  • Football Lingo - One must be very familiar with all of the terms, slang and jargon associated with this game to win at football betting. Find a slew of pigskin terminology right here!
  • Football Quotes - Funny and memorable sayings from around the National Football League including comments made by Vince Lombardi and John Madden.

Other Great Sites

  • Predictem - Weekly NFL picks from one of the most knowledgeable sports handicappers on the web. Tons of great football betting advice articles here too!
Reduced Juice Sports Betting 100% Sportsbook Bonus Best Parlay Odds Online