Free Sports Picks: Home CFB NBA CBB MLB MMA Boxing Super Bowl
LootMeister NFL Picks
Online SportsbooksBest Sportsbook Bonuses
GTBets

Changing Plans in Mid-Flight

NFL Football Betting: Changing Plans in Mid-Flight

By Loot, NFL Handicapper, Lootmeister.com

We've all been there. We pour over our picks all week and sit down on the weekend to see how it all plays out. At some point during the weekend, however, things start getting a little sideways on us. Our picks are not really hitting. This is where patience and poise can be far greater assets than being a good handicapper.

The urge will always be to start making more moves in an effort to salvage the betting weekend. The games you were betting are not working, so you start betting different games--ones where you maybe had an inkling, but had decided to stay away for whatever reason. We start loosening our standards and taking stands on games that did not seem bet-able earlier in the week.

The funny thing is that it can actually work. After all, picking football is a 50-50 endeavor. Sometimes, the games you felt the strongest about do worse than picks you felt more half-hearted about. That's the nature of the beast. But even if you've had this work for you on occasion, it is really bad practice over the long run. Here's why:

Making bets borne out of a losing streak is not good. A losing bettor is a bettor who is bound to continue losing. Don't double-up when on a cold streak--that's just solid gambling protocol right there.

At some point, you have to simply take a stand and go with it. You deliberate over your picks, make your bets, and see how it all plays out. If you did well, that's great. Keep it up. If you're losing on a particular weekend, however, you must learn to accept it. Everyone has tough weeks. Heck, even the best cappers can have bad months and yes--even whole years. But the very reason they are still at it is because they handle losing with an even temper. They don't go 1-5 in the early games, then bet a bunch of late games in order to salvage a weekend.

Football betting is tough. Only a few percent of all betting men actually succeed at this over any kind of long run. One of the reasons for this is that far too many people elect to slug it out with the book in the face of losses. They have a tough weekend or two and next thing you know, they take off the gloves and are throwing windmill punches while wide open. And like a boxer doing that--a knockout loss isn't too far in the distance.

Respect the book. Take your shots, but be selective. Recognize the difficulty of what it is you are trying to do and how so few manage to succeed at it. Recognize why they succeed at it and how it has less to do with winning, but how one handles losing. Here's the sign of a good football bettor: He bets 3 early games and goes 1-2. His next bet doesn't happen until the following weekend. Doesn't sound very glamorous, does it? But this guy is actually on his way.

He went 1-2, which isn't great, but it happens. What he didn't do is what is important. He didn't start making bets in order to get even. He spent the week coming up with his picks, he made his picks, and let them play out before giving it another whirl the following weekend. The ability to do that is what will guarantee that if this person makes it at betting football, it will come down only to his handicapping, instead of his ability to keep his cool.

STOP WASTING YOUR HARD EARNED MONEY! STOP LAYING -110 ODDS! START LAYING ONLY -105 TODAY AT THE WEB'S BEST SPORTSBOOK: 5DIMES

There are times, discussed in another article, where it can help you to revisit some of your bets to minimize losses or maximize or guarantee a winning weekend. But for the most part, it is good practice to take a stand before the games begin and stick to your guns. Scrambling around in the light of losses trying to salvage a losing weekend can usually only make matters worse. Being prone to this type of betting behavior puts you on the endangered species list and a bettor who goes toe-to-toe with the book every time something goes awry is only a step or two from total extinction.

Share this article with friends:

Leave a comment:

SAVE BIG MONEY BY BETTING AT -105 REDUCED ODDS!
Quit wasting your hard earned money! Make the switch from -110 to -105 odds today
You'll be so glad that you did! Click Here!
Doc's Sports NFL Picks

NFL Betting

  • Reduced Juice - Loot explains how reduced odds football betting works and where you can find this valuable asset.
  • What is a Point Spread? - Many new to the game struggle to understand why one side has a (+) while the other has a (-) in front of a team. We explain what the spread is and how it works.
  • Football Bets - All the different types of wagers that you can make when betting on football games.
  • What Professional Handicappers Do - Learn the tricks of the trade and increase your odds of beating the books!
  • Key Numbers - The article that bookies don't want you to read!
  • NFL Betting Quiz - Test your football wagering prowess with Loot's 10 question quiz!
  • Super Bowl 52 Predictions - Loot gives his preseason picks for which teams are most likely to win "the big game" along with middle of the road and a longshot that is sure to surprise you!
  • 2017 NFL Season Wins Predictions - Loot breaks down every team and gives his opinion on how they'll do vs. the number!
  • 2017 NFL Bye Weeks - The first set start in Week 5 and the final byes take place in Week 11. Loot also gives tips on betting on teams coming off byes.
  • 2017 NFL Coaching Changes - We seem to be in an era where football coaches become disposable in an instant if they don't win. 2016 was no different as a handful of teams made the switch. Check out who went where right here!

MISC.

  • Famous Football Players - Biographies of the best and greatest NFL football players of all-time.
  • Greatest NFL Players of All Time - A list of all time greats at each position. Each position has it's own dedicated article!
  • Best Quarterbacks of All Time - Joe Montana heads our list of top 10 QB's, however, Tom Brady is a sure bet to give him a run for his money by the time his career is said and done.
  • Best Running Backs of All Time - We list the top 10 greatest ball carriers of all-time. The order may be debatable, as Jim Brown, Barry Sanders and Walter Payton all brought something special to the gridiron.
  • Football Lingo - One must be very familiar with all of the terms, slang and jargon associated with this game to win at football betting. Find a slew of pigskin terminology right here!
  • Football Quotes - Funny and memorable sayings from around the National Football League including comments made by Vince Lombardi and John Madden.
Reduced Juice Sports Betting 100% Sportsbook Bonus Best Parlay Odds Online