Free Sports Picks: Home CFB NBA CBB MLB MMA Boxing Super Bowl
LootMeister NFL Picks
Online SportsbooksBest Sportsbook Bonuses
GTBets

NFL Betting: Choosing Advice Wisely

NFL Betting Tip: Choosing Advice Wisely

By Loot, NFL Football Handicapper, Lootmeister.com

NFL football is one of those unique facets in life where a lot of non-experts like to speak as if they are true authorities on the subject. Well-educated NFL fans or bettors spend a lot of time cringing and rolling their eyes when others attempt to pontificate on the NFL. And almost all of them can't seem to wait to tell you about their thoughts. Even for an astute NFL bettor, it can be hard to stop all the voices from influencing you. To be a strong force on the seas of NFL wagering, however, you must choose who exactly it is that you listen to very carefully.

One general rule of thumb, regardless of what voice you're hearing, is that you should avoid letting someone make your picks for you. Riding on a hot bettor's coat-tails from time to time is OK. But by in large, listening to others should only provide you with certain insight into the game--not the pick itself. But if you're winning by sweating someone else's picks, keep doing it--by all means.

Some people who speak about NFL football simply have no business commenting on it. That might sound harsh, but we're not people who are merely trying to shoot the breeze about the NFL. We're trying to earn over here. So no offense to your co-worker, but when he corners you by the copy machine and starts talking about the Dolphins, you should tune him out. Remember these people are not actually betting the games. So how sure can they be of their analysis if they're not even willing to back up what they say like we do?

QUIT PISSING AWAY YOUR HARD EARNED LOOT! BET ON GAMES AT DISCOUNTED ODDS -105 TODAY AT 5DIMES

But not all non-betting voices are of the same ilk. On television and radio, there are guys who actually know what they're talking about. They follow the sport very closely. You could quiz them on the most obscure detail and they will give you a good answer. Some of these voices are billed as being experts and that's exactly what they are--no doubt about it. But wagering on the NFL is a very specialized version of expertise. Just because you can recite a bio on all the back-up linebackers for the St. Louis Rams doesn't mean you know jack-squat about handicapping NFL games.

When you turn to the Internet, the quality of the analysis will get watered-down to a large extent. Remember that there are no qualifications to offer your thoughts on message boards. At least the guys on TV or radio had to show something to get that gig. On the Internet, you could be reading the thoughts of some barely-functional individual. There is simply no set of standards. There is also no shortage of misplaced confidence. Regardless of a person's actual level of NFL betting mastery, most of them will try to come off as experts. This not meant as a blanket indictment on all folks on the Internet. Some people really know what they're talking about. Find those voices.

If you bet at an actual brick-and-mortar book, you will also hear a lot of opinions. The air will fill with confident voices. You might even strike up a conversation with someone. He might be a nice guy. He might even be a good bettor. But if you find yourself being infected by someone's pick because they sound so confident and are making good points, take a closer look. You'd rather he look like James Bond than Jim Varney from the Ernest movies. It's hard to take a guy seriously as a wagering stud when he's wearing a Tommy Maddox jersey.

Shy away from advice polluted by team allegiances. Is the guy telling you you take the Patriots wearing a New England hat? A lot of casual bettors habitually bet on their teams as a show of support. We're not on that boat. We want winning picks, not sentimental ones. Fans of one team struggle with maintaining objectivity when picking those games. And even TV and radio analysts who either played for or are otherwise tied to an NFL team have trouble with this. They might even side with the other team just to show that they're not homing it for their team.

A good rule of thumb is to avoid people who lean toward an extreme point of view. Well-reasoned individuals make calculations while fully acknowledging the inherent limitations of such prognostications. A bettor is happier than a pig in slop if he can pick 57%. So there are no "locks." We should listen to people who show an understanding of how challenging NFL handicapping truly is.

Share this article with friends:

Leave a comment:

SAVE BIG MONEY BY BETTING AT -105 REDUCED ODDS!
Quit wasting your hard earned money! Make the switch from -110 to -105 odds today!
Doc's Sports NFL Picks

NFL Betting

  • Reduced Juice - Loot explains how reduced odds football betting works and where you can find this valuable asset.
  • What is a Point Spread? - Many new to the game struggle to understand why one side has a (+) while the other has a (-) in front of a team. We explain what the spread is and how it works.
  • Football Bets - All the different types of wagers that you can make when betting on football games.
  • What Professional Handicappers Do - Learn the tricks of the trade and increase your odds of beating the books!
  • Key Numbers - The article that bookies don't want you to read!
  • NFL Betting Quiz - Test your football wagering prowess with Loot's 10 question quiz!
  • Super Bowl 52 Predictions - Loot gives his preseason picks for which teams are most likely to win "the big game" along with middle of the road and a longshot that is sure to surprise you!
  • 2017 NFL Season Wins Predictions - Loot breaks down every team and gives his opinion on how they'll do vs. the number!
  • 2017 NFL Bye Weeks - The first set start in Week 5 and the final byes take place in Week 11. Loot also gives tips on betting on teams coming off byes.
  • 2017 NFL Coaching Changes - We seem to be in an era where football coaches become disposable in an instant if they don't win. 2016 was no different as a handful of teams made the switch. Check out who went where right here!

MISC.

  • Famous Football Players - Biographies of the best and greatest NFL football players of all-time.
  • Greatest NFL Players of All Time - A list of all time greats at each position. Each position has it's own dedicated article!
  • Best Quarterbacks of All Time - Joe Montana heads our list of top 10 QB's, however, Tom Brady is a sure bet to give him a run for his money by the time his career is said and done.
  • Best Running Backs of All Time - We list the top 10 greatest ball carriers of all-time. The order may be debatable, as Jim Brown, Barry Sanders and Walter Payton all brought something special to the gridiron.
  • Football Lingo - One must be very familiar with all of the terms, slang and jargon associated with this game to win at football betting. Find a slew of pigskin terminology right here!
  • Football Quotes - Funny and memorable sayings from around the National Football League including comments made by Vince Lombardi and John Madden.
Reduced Juice Sports Betting 100% Sportsbook Bonus Best Parlay Odds Online