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First Head Coach to be Fired in 2017 Bets

First NFL Head Coach to be Fired in 2017 Bets

By Loot, NFL Handicapper, Lootmeister.com

Ah, the good old days where they used to let a coach finish the season before dropping the hammer, no matter how bad things became. That's not the case anymore, as front offices will now yank a head coach out of there in midseason if things aren't going in the right direction. Last season, the hammer dropped on Jeff Fisher, Gus Bradley, and Rex Ryan before the conclusion of the regular season. Who might see that same fate in the 2017 season?

First, it's important to look at the conditions necessary for a midseason firing. One might think it just happens for bad teams. And while a certain amount of failure is required, it usually resonates more when combined with high hopes. It's not always the worst teams that fire their head coaches in midseason, but the ones with the largest gaps between expectations and performance. The fact that Sean Payton is at the top of this list attests to that. The Saints are far from the worst team in the league. But after an offseason where a lot of moves were made and a ton of money was spent, the expectations are so high that another 7-9 type of season would likely result in Payton being sent packing.

Other scenarios that are ideal for a midseason coaching firing include a team that was once a contender and is coming off a bad season. The Arizona Cardinals come to mind. After some big seasons, they took a major fall in '16 and more of the same could see head coach Bruce Arians getting axed. Then you also have teams that had been struggling, but are recently showing good signs. The New York Giants, Tennessee Titans, and Tampa Bay Buccaneers come to mind. While those head coaches are a big part of the newfound optimism, they are somewhat trapped in their success in that it is expected to continue. And if it doesn't, the axe could fall.

In other words, there are a handful of scenarios that could lead to a midseason NFL head coach getting fired. When thinking of a particular coach to bet on being the first to get fired, ponder the scenario. Think of what it would take for it to happen and how likely that is. Consider the front office and their history in this area. Have they ever fired a head coach in midseason before? Are they bound to him financially? There is a lot to take into consideration. Here are the odds for the first coach firing in the 2017 regular season. We will follow that with our best choices.

Betting Odds on the First NFL Head Coach to be Fired in 2017
Sean Payton is next head coach fired +1400
Adam Gase is next head coach fired +1500
Ben McAdoo is next head coach fired +1700
Mike McCarthy is next head coach fired +2300
Mike Zimmer is next head coach fired +2300
Mike Mularkey is next head coach fired +2300
Dan Quinn is next head coach fired +2300
Sean McDermott is next head coach fired +2700
Doug Marrone is next head coach fired +2800
Doug Pederson is next head coach fired +2800
Jay Gruden is next head coach fired +2800
Ron Rivera is next head coach fired +3300
Sean McVay is next head coach fired +3300
Jason Garrett is next head coach fired +3300
Dirk Koetter is next head coach fired +3300
Vance Joseph is next head coach fired +5500
Anthony Lynn is next head coach fired +5500
Bruce Arians is next head coach fired +5500
Jack Del Rio is next head coach fired +5500
John Harbaugh is next head coach fired +5500
Mike Tomlin is next head coach fired +5500
Kyle Shanahan is next head coach fired +7500
Andy Reid is next head coach fired +8500
Pete Carroll is next head coach fired +15000
Bill Belichick is next head coach fired +50000

About the Odds and Bet: First of all, when the bet says "first head coach to be fired," it's more of an all-encompassing term. For the purposes of this wager, a coach can be fired, dismissed, or he can resign. He could possibly retire. So if a head coach doesn't continue to be the coach for any reason, you would win the bet. Also, the bet is considered no-action if somehow the coach doesn't make it to the first game of the season. A coach must at least coach the first regular season game for a bet to be valid. And all the odds you see are conveyed on the money line. You'll notice Sean Payton is listed at +1400, which is basically 14-to-1. Bill Belichick is +50000, which is 500-to-1. Here are our best picks!

Our Favorite Candidates:

Sean Payton (+1400): The conditions seem decent. At one time a champion and contender, three 7-9 seasons in a row forced the Saints to make a ton of offseason moves. And if those moves fail to resonate and the Saints come stumbling out of the starting blocks, it's not hard to see why this would be the first shoe to drop.

Mike Zimmer (+2300): You can sense the Vikings are looking to make a move in 2017, partially from the positive signs Zimmer himself has helped bring about. But after a rough season that followed a 5-0 start in 2016, the noose could tighten if the Vikes fall flat in 2017.

Mike Mularkey (+2300): When a long-suffering team like the Titans finally get on the right track, as they did in '16 with a 9-7 mark, it can be extra-painful when failure re-enters the picture. And if it does and the Titans don't continue their upward projection, Mularkey could be history. Seems unlikely until you fathom the sentiment the team and organization would have if they start the season poorly.

Doug Pederson (+2800): The Eagles looked good to start 2016, before falling apart throughout the rest of the regula season. Pederson did some good things and the Eagles could be on their way up. But more unfulfilled promise could find Pederson with a lack of overall job security.

BET ON WHO WILL BE THE FIRST NFL HEAD COACH TO BE FIRED IN THE 2017 SEASON AT 5DIMES!

Jay Gruden (+3300): A 2015 NFC East title dissolved into an 8-7-1 campaign in 2016. When you look at the offseason in terms of player moves, the 'Skins had one of the worst in the league. A pronounced downward turn in 2017 could find Gruden on the hot-seat.

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