Free Sports Picks: Home CFB NBA CBB MLB MMA Boxing Super Bowl
LootMeister NFL Picks
Online SportsbooksBest Sportsbook Bonuses
GTBets

Getting an Edge Against the Sportsbook

NFL Betting: Getting an Edge Against the Sportsbook

By Loot, NFL Football Handicapper, Lootmeister.com

When betting on the NFL, we go into it knowing a great majority of bettors fail. If you want to be one of the few who succeeds, you need to take advantage of small edges that help tilt the odds a little more in your favor. We have a lot of stuff going against us--the juice and the numerous other pitfalls that make NFL betting a minefield. The book doesn't hesitate to take an edge against us. In order to compete, we need to do the same thing.

One thing to do is hunt for good juice. The industry standard is -110 on straight bets against the spread. Did you know you can get -105 if you look for it? Some books could give you that line as a bonus or have specified timeframes where -105 is offered. Getting a 5 cent break on the line is huge. As far as getting an edge, it doesn't get much better than that. And you don't need to hunt down this edge, as it's just given to you and available on all games.

Sometimes, you will be able to jump on a weak spread. This is not terribly easy. We might have a good handicapping model, but is it good enough to beat Vegas? It could be from time to time, but beating the oddsmakers is a lot more difficult than beating the public. And the public is who moves the line. Staying a step ahead of other bettors is more doable.

Try to consistently get the better end of the stick as far as the spreads and lines you accept. If you like a team at +3, you don't accept +2.5 when the warning box comes up telling you the spread has changed. Or if you assume you're betting standard juice on a side and see it's -120, you don't jump on it without second thought. You ponder your options. You consider the percentage of landing on a key number like 3, you consider buying half a point, or you just abandon the bet.

There are guys who rush out to Vegas to make a bunch of bets. Unbeknownst to them, the lines have all moved against them. They just make the bets anyway. Savvy bettors wouldn't do that. They want lines and spreads moving in their favor, aware that doing that consistently will result in far better results.

But when betting online, you needn't be shoe-horned into taking a number or price. You can see the movement of the line, which is charted by most sportsbooks. You can easily determine if the price you're getting is better or worse than the opening or closing line. And if it's consistently worse than the closing line, you're giving up another edge to the bookie.

Sometimes, you can find better value on more obscure bets. Prop bets can have terrible value, but some of them are just the opposite. That especially pertains to binary prop bets--wagers with only two possible conclusions. There are props, for example, on how many yards a quarterback will throw for. With hard work, you can sometimes find a mistake and jump on it. Or they might post odds on which of two quarterbacks in separate games will throw for the most yardage. Sometimes, you can tell who they want you to bet. Going the other way can be a good move, though you would have received what appears to be good value on the more obvious selection. There is a big difference between getting legitimately good value and sucker bets that look too good to be true. Over time, we become more adept at seeing the difference.

ADD 20 POINTS TO THE UNDERDOG SPREAD OR KNOCK 20 POINTS OFF OF THE FAV BY INSERTING THIS GAME INTO A MASSIVE 20 POINT TEASER FOUND ONLY AT 5DIMES!

The bottom-line is how we gear ourselves to operate. Sure, we're trying to pick winners, but it's within the context of trying to take every available edge. If we get in the habit of letting our opinions become our guiding light at the sake of value--we are almost sure to lose over the long run. We want to pick games correctly, but we always hunt for things like reduced juice and being on the right side of the closing line. By doing that, we secure an edge of at least a few percentage points that could mean a world of difference.

Share this article with friends:

Leave a comment:

SAVE BIG MONEY BY BETTING AT -105 REDUCED ODDS!
Quit wasting your hard earned money! Make the switch from -110 to -105 odds today
You'll be so glad that you did! Click Here!
Doc's Sports NFL Picks

NFL Betting

  • Reduced Juice - Loot explains how reduced odds football betting works and where you can find this valuable asset.
  • What is a Point Spread? - Many new to the game struggle to understand why one side has a (+) while the other has a (-) in front of a team. We explain what the spread is and how it works.
  • Football Bets - All the different types of wagers that you can make when betting on football games.
  • What Professional Handicappers Do - Learn the tricks of the trade and increase your odds of beating the books!
  • Key Numbers - The article that bookies don't want you to read!
  • NFL Betting Quiz - Test your football wagering prowess with Loot's 10 question quiz!
  • Super Bowl 52 Predictions - Loot gives his preseason picks for which teams are most likely to win "the big game" along with middle of the road and a longshot that is sure to surprise you!
  • 2017 NFL Season Wins Predictions - Loot breaks down every team and gives his opinion on how they'll do vs. the number!
  • 2017 NFL Bye Weeks - The first set start in Week 5 and the final byes take place in Week 11. Loot also gives tips on betting on teams coming off byes.
  • 2017 NFL Coaching Changes - We seem to be in an era where football coaches become disposable in an instant if they don't win. 2016 was no different as a handful of teams made the switch. Check out who went where right here!

MISC.

  • Famous Football Players - Biographies of the best and greatest NFL football players of all-time.
  • Greatest NFL Players of All Time - A list of all time greats at each position. Each position has it's own dedicated article!
  • Best Quarterbacks of All Time - Joe Montana heads our list of top 10 QB's, however, Tom Brady is a sure bet to give him a run for his money by the time his career is said and done.
  • Best Running Backs of All Time - We list the top 10 greatest ball carriers of all-time. The order may be debatable, as Jim Brown, Barry Sanders and Walter Payton all brought something special to the gridiron.
  • Football Lingo - One must be very familiar with all of the terms, slang and jargon associated with this game to win at football betting. Find a slew of pigskin terminology right here!
  • Football Quotes - Funny and memorable sayings from around the National Football League including comments made by Vince Lombardi and John Madden.
Reduced Juice Sports Betting 100% Sportsbook Bonus Best Parlay Odds Online