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Jacksonville Jaguars vs. New York Jets Point Spread - Pick

Jacksonville Jaguars (2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS) vs. New York Jets (1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS)
Week 4 NFL
Date/Time: Sunday, October 1, 2017 at 1PM EST
Where: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, New Jersey
TV: CBS

By Loot, NFL Football Handicapper, Lootmeister.com

Point Spread: JAC -3.5/NYJ +3.5
Over/Under Total: 39.5

The Jacksonville Jaguars come to MetLife Stadium to take on the New York Jets on Sunday in week four action from East Rutherford. The Jaguars are coming off a rollicking 44-7 win over the Ravens on Sunday in London at Wembley Stadium, handing Baltimore a loss that was as lopsided as any defeat they ever had. But after an outpouring of effort across the Atlantic, will some lag come into play this week, as they face another road game this Sunday? They take on a Jets team that dominated the Dolphins in a 20-6 home win on Sunday. After losing and failing to cover the first two games of the season, Sunday's one-sided win came as a big surprise. The Jets look for the same this week, again at home.

Through three games, the Jaguars have been all over the place, but at 2-1, the signs are mostly positive for the long-suffering Jags. They sure seem to have a knack for playing big in London, having had good success there the last several years. Let's see if they can transfer that to Jersey this week. Jacksonville opened the season with a dominant 29-7 win over the Texans on the road. A lot of people were let down the following week watching the Jaguars getting manhandled by division rival Tennessee in a three-touchdown loss. Against Baltimore, they were facing a team that had allowed a total of ten points in their first two games. They put up 44 points against them and the defense completely dominated the Baltimore offense. Go figure. If weeks 1-3 are any indication, the Jags are looking like one of those feast-or-famine type teams.

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With the 44-point output, the Jaguars offense was on-point after an uneven week 2 showing against the Titans. Blake Bortles was big with a 128.2 QB rating on Sunday, throwing for 4 touchdowns and no turnovers. He made a big connection on the day with veteran tight end Marcedes Lewis, who hauled in three touchdowns. Bortles also hooked up well with Marqise Lee, as they look for him to become a more utilized target with Allen Robinson out of action. Receiver Allen Hurns also caught a touchdown pass. Rookie back Leonard Fournette ran for a touchdown, while unheard-of Corey Grant suddenly sprang forth with some productivity, including a 58-yard run. The line did well in springing loose the run game, while keeping Bortles out of trouble and giving up zero sacks on the day.

Granted, both sides of the ball seemed to benefit greatly from a dead-looking Baltimore squad on Sunday. But we have now seen the Jaguars' defense allow opponents to a lone touchdown in two of three games. Up-front, Dante Fowler, Calais Campbell, and Malik Jackson got after the quarterback. They are getting good play in the middle with Telvin Smith, Paul Posluzny, and Myles Jack. Corners Jalen Ramsey and AJ Bouye both had picks on the afternoon, while safeties Barry Church and Teshaun Gipson were active on defense. This might not be a defense that is bankable week after week on a consistent basis, but they are showing that they have a pretty high ceiling and that they can deliver that kind of form of a fairly-regular basis.

After losing the first two games of the season in fairly lopsided fashion, not many were too crazy about the Jets' chances with the Dolphins on Sunday. They dominated on both sides of the ball. On offense, they got a good showing from QB Josh McCown, while the defense very nearly scored a shutout, with Miami only getting on the board with a garbage TD as time ran out. After opening the season with two tough road games, the Jets sure looked a lot better at home, where they play the Jags this week. And again, the Jags are coming off a game in London. Not only are they not getting a bye, they now have to come face a team that showed on Sunday that they might be appreciably better in their own building.

It's not often lately that QB Josh McCown wins a start, so hats off for a quietly-efficient performance on Sunday, only his third win in his last 25 starts. He was 18-for-23 passing, with a touchdown and no picks. He hit Robby Anderson for a 69-yard touchdown reception, while Jermaine Kearse and Jeremy Kerley (questionable) had some good work, as well. Players like TE Austin Seferian-Jenkins and rookie ArDarius Stewart are starting to get into the mix, as well. Bilal Powell has a TD run and the O-line did a good job in keeping McCown out of an abundance of trouble.

Again, the Jets' defense came very close to securing a rare shutout win, with a Miami TD as time ran out spoiling those hopes. They held the 'Fins to 3.6 yards per play and were utterly dominant on Sunday. Among the better performances they had came from S Terrence Brooks, who had two interceptions on the day. Linebackers Darron Lee and Demario Davis were active in the game. The secondary was also active in the pass-rush, with Buster Skrine and Jamal Davis both having sacks in the game, along with LB David Bass. It was a far cry from the Jets' offense that labored so badly the week before against the Raiders. More performances like what they had on Sunday will have the Jets in a lot of games this season.

This season seems even more schizophrenic than normal. And these two teams are a part of that equation, with their form all over the place through three weeks of play. There seems to be an erratic nature to both teams this season, rendering a lot of analysis moot when trying to handicap the game. I can see the Jets being energized and dug in at home for their second straight game and coming off a win. They now face what could be a slightly-weary or maybe an adrenaline-deprived Jaguars team and I see the Jets in a good position to get the cover as home dogs.

Loot's Prediction to Cover the Point Spread: I'm betting on the New York Jets plus 3.5 points. Did you know... that you could be wagering on the Jaguars vs. Jets game at discounted odds? There's a better than good chance that you're laying -110 odds (or more) with your book. Stop overpaying TODAY by making the switch to 5Dimes Sportsbook! You will be so glad that you did!

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