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Kansas City Chiefs vs. Los Angeles Chargers Point Spread - Pick

Kansas City Chiefs (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS) vs. Los Angeles Chargers (0-2 SU, 0-1-1 ATS)
Week 3 NFL
Date/Time: Sunday, September 24, 2017 at 4:25PM EST
Where: StubHub Center, Carson, California

By Loot, NFL Football Handicapper,

Point Spread: KC -3/LAC +3
Over/Under Total: 46

The Kansas City Chiefs will take on the Los Angeles Chargers on Sunday in week three AFC West divisional action from StubHub Center in Carson. The Chargers made their debut at the StubHub Center on Sunday. Despite a new start in LA, they saw a familiar pattern unfold with bad things happening late to sabotage a possible win. This time it was a missed field goal, the second time a game-ending kick failed to go their way this season, as they fell to 0-2 in a 19-17 loss to the Dolphins at home. The Chiefs, meanwhile, saw another early-season positive development on Sunday, going to 2-0 with a 27-20 home win against the visiting Eagles. Can they make it 3-0 this week or will the Chargers get their first win of the season?

The perennial hard-luck Chargers could be sitting pretty if rookie kicker Younghoe Koo could hit a key field goal. In the first two games, a pair of 44-yard field goals has spelled the difference for the snake-bitten Chargers. And now, the injury bug has returned to undermine what could otherwise be a promising team. Tackle Joe Barksdale went down in the Miami game and talented corner Jason Verrett is again dealing with injuries, as his promising career gets undermined. They are thin at linebacker with Denzel Perryman out and rookie high draft-pick receiver Mike Williams has yet to hit the field.

On Sunday, the Chargers' offense has an incomplete game. They couldn't really run the ball and other than a 26-yard run by Branden Oliver, they had almost nothing, with Melvin Gordon not making much of an impact on the ground, despite the fact that he did score a touchdown on a 9-carry/13-yard day. Aerially, they made some headway, with Philip Rivers putting up 331 yards on 31-for-39 passing. But it only amounted to one touchdown, with Antonio Gates setting the all-time NFL tight end touchdown record. WR Keenan Allen was big with 9 catches and 100 yards. Gates' replacement Hunter Henry had 7 catches for 80 yards and what Gordon lacked on the ground, he made up a little with 7 catches. There was production, but sustaining consistent drives proved problematic.

The Chargers' defense has been spotty in the first two weeks, but giving up 24 to Denver on the road and 19 to Miami on Sunday isn't too bad. The secondary is already dealing with issues with the injury to Verrett, forcing rookie Desmond King into action with young Trevor Williams. Melvin Ingram had another sack on Sunday and with Joey Bosa, they get after quarterbacks. In the middle, they got a boost from Hayes Pullard, III. and Jatavis Brown. If the injury bug flies the coup, they might be able to be pretty good.


Kansas City is looking strong through two weeks. They relied on a pair of strong second halves in their first two games to pull away from their opponents. In week one, it came in an impressive road win over defending Super Bowl champion New England. On Sunday, a close game at home against Philly was broken open late with the Chiefs' improved playmaking. With the game knotted at 13-13, the Chiefs scored two touchdowns in the final half of the fourth quarter to take over the game. It's a nice knack to have and the Chiefs look like a major contender through two weeks of play.

The Chiefs' offense had only two field goals in the first half and couldn't sustain many drives. They broke it open late and at the end of the day, Alex Smith was again a key part of the success, going 21/28 for 251 yards and a touchdown with no picks. And he saved the best for last. Key to the growth of the Chiefs offense is the influx of playmakers into the offense in the past several seasons. First was big-time tight end Travis Kelce. He had 103 yards and a TD on Sunday. Then came last season and the rise of Tyreek Hill, who adds an element of electricity in the air, on the ground, and on special teams. This season, they have another gem on their hands with Kareem Hunt, an under-the-radar Toledo rookie back who has scored five touchdowns through two games and added two big ones against the Eagles on Sunday. Suddenly, this offense is pretty dangerous and not just a group trying not to make mistakes while a stout and playmaking defense does all he heavy lifting.

At the same time, the defense will probably need to be a big part of the equation this season for the Chiefs. The first two games are a portal into what the Kansas City "D" is all about. They will allow yardage and aren't always the stoutest of defenses. They'll give up yards and points. But whether they are behind or playing with a lead, they tend to play at their best late in games. In both games this season, the defense was instrumental in allowing the offense to take over the games, stalling out opposing offenses in games that were competitive up until that point. The loss of Eric Berry was critical and the pass-defense wasn't all that crisp on Sunday, something that could hurt them against the diverse Chargers' aerial attack. On Sunday, DE Chris Jones was huge with three sacks and an interception, with Justin Houston, Bennie Logan, and Dee Ford also sacking Wentz.

The Chargers aren't bad. But when betting on them, you need to look for the right spots. They're highly unreliable late in games and going against a team that thrives in the clutch. But against a suddenly-vulnerable KC secondary, Rivers and his cast of weapons should be able to create some points. The Chargers' secondary is also already battered, but the front seven should offer a strong challenge to the Chiefs' top guys. In either event, we see the offenses for both teams having success. I'm taking the over.

Loot's Prediction to Cover the Point Spread: I'm betting that the Chiefs vs. Chargers game goes over 46 points. Did you know... that you could be wagering on the Chiefs vs. Chargers game at discounted odds? There's a better than good chance that you're laying -110 odds (or more) with your book. Stop overpaying TODAY by making the switch to 5Dimes Sportsbook! You will be so glad that you did!

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