Kansas City Chiefs (2-2 SU, 1-3 ATS) vs. Oakland Raiders (3-2 SU, 4-1 ATS)
Week 6 NFL
Date/Time: Sunday, October 16, 2016 at 4:05PM EST
Where: Oakland Coliseum, Oakland, California
By Loot, NFL Football Handicapper, Lootmeister.com
Betting Odds: KC +1/OAK -1
Over/Under Total: 46.5
The Kansas City Chiefs make the trip to the Coliseum to face the Oakland Raiders in AFC West divisional action. The Chiefs are sitting at 2-2 and coming off a bye that followed a lopsided road loss to the Steelers the previous Sunday night. They're hoping the time off has let them address some issues. They again take to the road in a difficult test against a 4-1 Oakland bunch that won't be easily separated from their good momentum. On Sunday, they won at home against the Chargers, 34-31. They're back at home and look to add another conference win as they build their case as a contender in 2016.
The sample size is small, but the Chiefs have been a lot better at home, winning twice in games that were impressive in their own ways. On the road, however, they were flat against both Houston and Pittsburgh. Now coming in against a frothing Oakland throng, we'll see what they can come up with. It's been hard to gauge what you're getting from week to week with this KC gang. They exploded to come from behind against the dangerous Chargers, before losing to a team they dominated twice last season in the Texans. They thumped the Jets, 24-3, then had absolutely nothing for the Steelers in a Sunday night 43-14 loss that wasn't even that close.
The Kansas City defense was exploited readily by the Steelers offense that was bolstered by the return of Le'Veon Bell. Still, it was disconcerting to see the Chiefs play such the perfect foil to the Pittsburgh offensive machine, with it being the prototypical successful Steelers' offensive showcase. The defense is dealing with some problems, though it's worth noting they allowed only 22 points in their previous two games before the Steelers debacle.
The Chiefs' defense had better days. It's not like they're the only "D" that is going to struggle against that group. There are some issues that need to be dealt with on the defense, as their run-defense has not been very stout. Injuries have played a role, but the line has been depended on to provide a consistent pass-rush and they haven't delivered. Allen Bailey (questionable) being injured combined with Marcus Peters being burnt on occasion has also created issues. Peters has 4 picks, but has been toasted more than once. This team is simply not built to thrive with a bottom-half defense and that's what they've been so far. One shouldn't necessarily expect that to be the defense we see all season from this bunch.
Despite some iffy showings this season, Alex Smith is still dependable behind center. The brief appearance by Jamaal Charles against the Steelers, followed by a bye-week suggests he could be ready to start contributing to an offense that needs all the help they can get. The aerial attack is pretty no-frills, save for the play of a dynamic tight end in Travis Kelce. Jeremy Maclin and Chris Conley aren't exactly a premier 1-2 punch at wide receiver. In Charles' absence, we have seen the development of Charcandrick West (questionable) and especially Spencer Ware. Look for Reed to find a way to unleash the full venom of this offense on opponents in coming weeks. But they are rather one-dimensional and when the defense isn't making an impact, the Chiefs aren't a very good team. They've had a lot of success over the past several years, but were never able to really put together a full season. In other words, the Chiefs are bound to go through some different phases throughout a 16-game schedule. Which team do we see after a bye in week six?
Against the dangerous Chargers on Sunday, the Raiders went back and forth and trailed 24-16 late in the third quarter, before three scores made it 34-24, Oakland. But the Chargers came back and if not for a bungled FG attempt, they likely would have tied it with a short field goal. Still, it was a good game for the Raiders, even if they just missed covering the spread. Derek Carr made some big plays with his talented group of receivers, while the defense got away with melting a bit late. A win is a win.
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Carr was solid with 317 yards through the air. The run-game had been dicey and without Latavius Murray, they gained a modest 89 yards on the afternoon. Both Amari Cooper and Michael Crabtree hauled in TD passes. The defense allowed even more to Philip Rivers and Company and if not for four turnovers and some typical late-game San Diego slapstick, the Chargers could have easily won that game. But that's besides a point. This year was identified as the clear fork in the road season for the Raiders, where they either take a step forward as a good young team or just stick to the longtime losing pattern. To be 4-1 through five games qualifies as a success and we will see where they go from here.
After an embarrassing loss followed by a bye-week, one could reasonably suspect the Chiefs to show up strong this week against their longtime divisional rival. The Chiefs have won the last three of these meetings, with Carr not at his best against this team. Some of his shakiest outings of the last two years came against the Chiefs. Not the Raiders will grow complacent—not with Del Rio as their coach and because they have no right to be cavalier in the light of having not gone to the playoffs in 14 years. I just see a desperate Chiefs resourcefully navigating their way to a win.
Loot's Prediction to Cover the Point Spread: I'm betting on the Kansas City Chiefs plus one point. Did you know... that you could be wagering on the Kansas City vs. Oakland game at discounted odds? There's a better than good chance that you're laying -110 odds (or more) with your book. Stop overpaying TODAY by making the switch to 5Dimes Sportsbook! You will be so glad that you did!