Free Sports Picks: Home CFB CBB MLB MMA Boxing Super Bowl
LootMeister NFL Picks
Online SportsbooksBest Sportsbook Bonuses

New England Patriots vs. San Francisco 49ers Point Spread - Pick

New England Patriots (7-2 SU, 7-2 ATS) vs. San Francisco 49ers (1-8 SU, 2-7 ATS)
Week 11 NFL
Date/Time: November 20, 2016 at 4:25PM EST
Where: Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, California

By Loot, NFL Football Handicapper,

Betting Odds: NE -13/SF +13
Over/Under Total: 51

The New England Patriots come to Levi's Stadium on Sunday to face the San Francisco 49ers. New England lost for the second time last week and the first time under Tom Brady with a 31-24 loss on Sunday Night Football to the Seattle Seahawks. They look to bounce back on the road this week against a team they're roundly expected to beat in the spiraling San Francisco 49ers—losers of 8 in a row. On Sunday, San Fran was gallant in a 3-point loss to Arizona, covering the spread for the first time since a week one win. Who can cover the big spread this week?

The Niners is in a lot of trouble, but they know the season is a loss in terms of anything having to do with the postseason. So they're at terms with it as they now just try to latch onto something positive. The offense has gotten a boost by the re-insertion of Colin Kaepernick behind center. On Sunday against the Cardinals on the road, he threw a TD pass, while running for another one and there is generally more life on this offense with Kap in there. He hit Jeremy Kerley for a TD, as Kerley caught 7 passes. Quinton Patton and Vance McDonald were also able to produce, as we see Kaepernick bringing more pieces into the fold in an effort to get this offense cooking. It's not easy, as they are threadbare in the playmaking department. Carlos Hyde, banged up more often than not, could come around, but he really hasn't been a consistent performer in this offense. Torrey Smith, a solid contributor with Baltimore, has disappeared in this offense. It's a disheartening situation, as Chip Kelly's offensive vision has yet to take hold in Frisco. At the end of the day, it's the 29th ranked offense in the league. And in aerial offense, they're ranked 30th.

We've seen San Fran teams prosper before without much offense, but that's when they had a stout, smothering, and playmaking defense that bridged the gap. Well, that "D" is long gone, with barely a vestige of their prior strength remaining. As of this week, they rank 32nd (dead last) in total defense, points allowed and run-defense. Their secondary has played well despite all the dysfunction surrounding them. But it's a defense that gives up a ton. Sunday's 23-point allowance to the Cardinals was a positive development for a unit that hasn't had much in the way of anything good happening. But still, it's a major team liability. And the thought of an irritated New England offense going against this group is a cause for major concern. To cover the number, the Niners will need to somehow prevent a full Patriots offensive onslaught.

The Pats had chances to win on Sunday night against the Seahawks. Late in the game and down by seven, they had first and goal up close and couldn't punch it in for the game-winning score. Still, at 7-2 and with what looks to be a sure-win this weekend, they have a stranglehold on the division and an inside track for home-field in the playoffs. Still, after covering four straight spreads since Brady's return and following a bye week, losing at home was a concern. Look for the Pats to be pining to get back on the winning track. And that could be trouble for the beleaguered Niners.

Brady wasn't bad on Sunday, but the strong Seattle secondary definitely slowed him down some. He still connected on 23 of 32 passes for 316 yards. But no touchdowns and a pick were uncharacteristic for a typical Brady stat-line. Martellus Bennett and Julian Edelman had big days, but Rob Gronkowski was lost with a chest injury and is listed as questionable for this game. The seriousness of the injury has been downplayed, so maybe it's not a big deal. But we've seen the New England offense without Gronk or with a compromised version of him and while it's just a tight end, the difference is staggering. We'll keep an eye on his progress heading into this matchup. But let's face it, to beat SF, they don't really need to be in an ideal condition health-wise. They still have more than enough to hack the ramshackle SF defense. On Sunday, LeGarrette Blount scored three times, as the Patriots offense is a well-balanced one that can get you in a variety of different ways.


The New England defense is hardly invulnerable. They're ranked 19th against the pass and 14th against the run. That's not terribly impressive until you see they're 6th in points allowed at just 18 a game. They're a pretty clutch group, usually at their best in the most crucial of situations. Still, the pass rush has ebbed some and that was evident as the front seven struggled against the sometimes-dicey Seattle O-line on Sunday. There are good players across all phases of the "D," but they can be exploited and when needing to cover a big number, that doesn't help.

Still, there's a lot of truth in the first impression and when looking at this matchup, one shudders to imagine the possibilities and how those certainly don't favor the Niners. Best case scenario, Frisco can hang in there and give a good account of themselves and keep the score in the 10-point range. But when that's the best you can imagine, there are a lot of other scenarios that don't favor them. And most of those point to a conclusive New England win by a hefty number. I'm taking the road fave.

Loot's Prediction to Cover the Point Spread: I'm betting on the New England Patriots minus 13 points. Tired of your credit card not working for sportsbook deposit? End that problem today by signing up and betting the New England vs. San Francisco game at Bovada Sportsbook where your credit card WILL work and where you'll receive a generous 100% sign-up bonus!

Share this article with friends:

Leave a comment:

Quit wasting your hard earned money! Make the switch from -110 to -105 odds today
You'll be so glad that you did! Click Here!
Doc's Sports NFL Picks

NFL Betting

  • Reduced Juice - Loot explains how reduced odds football betting works and where you can find this valuable asset.
  • What is a Point Spread? - Many new to the game struggle to understand why one side has a (+) while the other has a (-) in front of a team. We explain what the spread is and how it works.
  • Football Bets - All the different types of wagers that you can make when betting on football games.
  • What Professional Handicappers Do - Learn the tricks of the trade and increase your odds of beating the books!
  • Key Numbers - The article that bookies don't want you to read!
  • NFL Betting Quiz - Test your football wagering prowess with Loot's 10 question quiz!
  • Super Bowl 52 Predictions - Loot gives his preseason picks for which teams are most likely to win "the big game" along with middle of the road and a longshot that is sure to surprise you!
  • 2017 NFL Season Wins Predictions - Loot breaks down every team and gives his opinion on how they'll do vs. the number!
  • 2017 NFL Bye Weeks - The first set start in Week 5 and the final byes take place in Week 11. Loot also gives tips on betting on teams coming off byes.
  • 2017 NFL Coaching Changes - We seem to be in an era where football coaches become disposable in an instant if they don't win. 2016 was no different as a handful of teams made the switch. Check out who went where right here!


  • Famous Football Players - Biographies of the best and greatest NFL football players of all-time.
  • Greatest NFL Players of All Time - A list of all time greats at each position. Each position has it's own dedicated article!
  • Best Quarterbacks of All Time - Joe Montana heads our list of top 10 QB's, however, Tom Brady is a sure bet to give him a run for his money by the time his career is said and done.
  • Best Running Backs of All Time - We list the top 10 greatest ball carriers of all-time. The order may be debatable, as Jim Brown, Barry Sanders and Walter Payton all brought something special to the gridiron.
  • Football Lingo - One must be very familiar with all of the terms, slang and jargon associated with this game to win at football betting. Find a slew of pigskin terminology right here!
  • Football Quotes - Funny and memorable sayings from around the National Football League including comments made by Vince Lombardi and John Madden.

Other Great Sites

  • Predictem - Weekly NFL picks from one of the most knowledgeable sports handicappers on the web. Tons of great football betting advice articles here too!
Reduced Juice Sports Betting 100% Sportsbook Bonus Best Parlay Odds Online