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New York Jets vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Point Spread - Pick

New York Jets (4-5 SU, 6-2-1 ATS) vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-6 SU, 1-6-1 ATS)
Week 10 NFL
Date/Time: Sunday, November 12, 2017 at 1PM EST
Where: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay, Florida
TV: CBS

By Loot, NFL Football Handicapper, Lootmeister.com

Point Spread: NYJ -2.5/TB +2.5
Over/Under Total: 42.5

The New York Jets come to Raymond James Stadium to take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in week ten action. The Jets scored a nice 34-21 home win against the Bills on Thursday and at 4-5, have a chance to get to .500 this week. According to most people's projections, they have already succeeded expectations this season as far as wins go. But they face a tricky road spot against a Tampa Bay bunch that has really fallen on tough times with five straight losses, including a 30-10 loss to the Saints on Sunday. They really need a positive development, though this season is starting to already look like a lost cause through 8 games.

The Jets have been pretty resilient. They really needed the win against Buffalo, following a 3-game losing streak that threatened to render their good start moot. They have been pretty streaky, losing their first two games, followed by a three-game win streak, a three-game losing streak, and then the win on Thursday. They have not failed to cover a spread since week two and if they get to the bye week after this game at 5-5, that would be a major accomplishment for a team that has been forced to overcome a lot, namely losing a ton of talent on both sides of the ball to injury, in addition to a roster that suggests they should be doing a lot worse than they are. Against a 5-2 Bills team, they took a 34-7 lead into the final half of the fourth quarter, with Buffalo adding two late scores to make it look closer. The defense played well most of the game, with a strong running performance and few mistakes on the offensive side of the ball.

Part of the Jets becoming an overachieving team has been the play of Josh McCown. He has been getting better and cutting down on turnovers, as he has nearly 2000 yards through the air and 13 touchdowns. He hit Robbie Anderson for a score against Buffalo and has also been working well with Jermaine Kearse and TE Austin Seferian-Jenkins. Seeing veteran running back Matt Forte spring to life is a positive sign and he ran for two touchdowns on 77 yards on Thursday, with Bilal Powell running for 74 yards. The nimble McCown also ran in a score. After losing so many playmakers on this side of the ball, they have managed to piece it together pretty well.

The Jets' defense hasn't always been that dependable this season. There have been weeks when they were pretty exploitable. On Thursday against Buffalo, they were pretty solid, keeping Buffalo in-check until late in the game. The pass-rush was immense with 7 sacks on Tyrod Taylor, with Muhammad Wilkerson, Demario Davis, Darron Lee, Jordan Jenkins, and Kony Ealy among those who got to the QB. Young talent is starting to rise to the forefront, as this once-formidable defense has undergone a changing of the guard in recent seasons. They have helped secure a plus-3 in turnover ratio this season. With more playmaking like what we saw against Buffalo, this unit could be in pretty good shape.

Tampa had high hopes heading into this season, based on a rising roster packed with talent on both sides of the ball and on how they finished last season so strongly. But inconsistent play and injuries have rendered them a diminished force. Certain acquisitions haven't panned out and there has been enough substandard play across enough areas to make it so the Tampa recipe for success hasn't taken hold. They have now lost QB Jameis Winston for a time, with Ryan Fitzpatrick back in action and preparing to start against the Jets, a team he played on for two seasons. Can they get it done at home this week?

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The Bucs' offense took a hit in the loss to the Saints, with Winston re-injuring his shoulder, and top receiver Mike Evans suspended for this game. This offense has put up a combined 13 points in the last two games. Winston hasn't been very good. Therefore, an aerial attack with some legit weapons has been providing less-than-expected production. The run game hasn't really gotten out of the blocks and Doug Martin has been slow to work himself back from a suspension. With Winston out, it's another element to ponder. If buying stock on Winston or Fitzpatrick, you'd probably take Winston. But with his mojo suffering, maybe there's some actual upside to having Fitzpatrick in there for the short-term.

The Tampa defense hasn't been very good in any one area. They have really struggled in pass-defense and are one of the worst in the league in that category. They only have five interceptions on the season and the big plays from this side of the ball have been minimal. The pass-rush has been almost non-existent, with just eight sacks registered on the year thus far. They have a great DT in Gerald McCoy, while getting good play from linebackers Kwon Alexander and Lavonte David. Finding other areas of promise isn't that easy to do.

It's easy to take the perspective that the Bucs are spiraling downward, whereas the Jets are still out there getting results and trying to make some things happen. But expecting Tampa to just lie down in spots like this could be a miscalculation. I suspect a better offensive showing with Fitzpatrick still a prideful and gutty performer. I see Tampa keeping it close at home this week and covering the spread.

Loot's Prediction to Cover the Point Spread: I'm betting on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers plus 2.5 points. Tired of your credit card not working for sportsbook deposit? End that problem today and bet the Jets vs. Buccaneers game by signing up at Bovada Sportsbook where your credit card WILL work and where you'll receive a generous 50% sign-up bonus!

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