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Seattle Seahawks vs. San Francisco 49ers Point Spread - Pick

Seattle Seahawks (6-4 SU, 3-6-1 ATS) vs. San Francisco 49ers (1-9 SU, 5-5 ATS)
Week 12 NFL
Date/Time: Sunday, November 26, 2017 at 4:05PM EST
Where: Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, California
TV: Fox

By Loot, NFL Football Handicapper,

Point Spread: SEA -7/SF +7
Over/Under Total: 42.5

The Seattle Seahawks come to Levi's Stadium for an NFC West matchup with the San Francisco 49ers on Sunday. The Niners are coming off a bye-week, which followed their first win of the season, a 31-21 win over the New York Giants in week ten. It might help the Niners get some better results over the rest of the season. But things get tougher this week with the incoming Seahawks. On MNF, Seattle fell at home, 34-31, to the Atlanta Falcons to slip to 6-4 on the season. With two losses in their last three games and both of those being at home, the Seahawks look to get it done this week in a winnable spot against the 49ers this Sunday. In week two at CenturyLink, the Seahawks beat the 49ers narrowly, 12-9.

The 49ers are looking to build something and it's going to take time. With a new coach, a front office that has stressed that they will be patient, and a slew of youngsters on both sides of the ball, the 49ers have used a long-term vision, as opposed to a "win now" attitude. With a 5-5 ATS record, despite being just 1-9, they really haven't been that bad overall. They have also had to brave a staggering amount of injuries on both sides of the ball. They have shown some resolve, however, and remain a dangerous opponent. Sure, after setting an NFL record for losing five straight games by three or less points, they went on to lose their next three games by a combined 63 points, but the win in their last game was a positive development.

The 49ers' offense has some areas of promise. After acquiring Jimmy Garoppolo, they look to have an upgrade at the quarterback position after struggling to find good play in that area for the last few seasons. Coach Shanahan is not committing to who will start, but after CJ Beathard commandeered the team to their only win of the season, it seems a weird time to give him the hook. He was an effective 19-for-25 passing against the Giants, with 288 yards and a pair of TD throws. He also ran in a score. WR Marquise Goodwin put forth an inspirational performance, taking a ball 83 yards for a TD after his wife lost a child at birth. TE Garrett Celek also caught a TD. Carlos Hyde had a nice day with nearly 100 yards on the ground, with Matt Breida adding a useful 55 yards and a touchdown. It was their most-complete offensive showing of the season.

There are a lot of good signs on the defensive side of the ball for the 49ers. Again, with youth and inconsistency, not to mention a ton of injuries, it's going to take a while to take hold. But at least they're something other than simply terrible like they've been the last few seasons. Overall, they're pretty bad. But with better breaks in terms of injuries and increased maturity, they will get better. For this game, they will be without talented youngsters like Jaquisti Tartt and Solomon Thomas, with other key guys on IR. Up-front, they're getting good play from Leger Douzable and DeForest Buckner. In the middle, rookie Rueben Foster is starting to come around from injury, with Ray Ray Armstrong a major asset. Eric Reid and Dontae Johnson have played well in the secondary. But they remain readily-exploitable, having received a disproportionate amount of injuries this season on this side of the ball.

Seattle couldn't ever get the upper-hand against the Falcons on MNF, falling behind by as many as 14 and trailing by 11 late in the fourth quarter. Still, they battled back and a late TD from Russell Wilson to Doug Baldwin and a two-point conversion brought them within three points with three minutes left. Game as always, Wilson worked the offense down the field to set up a 53-yard field goal attempt, but Blair Walsh was short with his kick and they lost by three points. They out-performed Atlanta over a lot of categories, but a Wilson fumble was returned for a TD and was costly and they couldn't quite make up the difference after Atlanta put up 24 first-half points.


Wilson was OK on MNF, throwing for 258 yards with two touchdown throws, but the fumble and an interception proved to be costly. He also ran for 86 yards and a TD. Jimmy Graham caught seven passes and caught a TD. Doug Baldwin also hauled in a TD pass, with WR Paul Richardson catching five balls. With Wilson leading the run-game, they got minimal production from JD McKissic and Mike Davis. They have used a large group of different backs and have yet to find the right ground-game formula.

On one hand, giving up 279 yards to the Atlanta offense isn't too bad. And 7 of the Falcons' points came on defense. With Kam Chancellor and Richard Sherman out and CB Shaquill Griffin coming out of the game with a concussion, their secondary is not the same group and is missing a lot of its overall menace. Up-front, Sheldon Richardson and Michael Bennett got after the quarterback on MNF. And linebackers KJ Wright and Bobby Wagner were also typically active. And in the second half against Atlanta, they tightened up some and played well. They hope for better this week.

It seems reasonable to think the Seahawks will have some urgency this week. It would almost be better for the Niners if the Seahawks had been winning, as Seattle is in no position to overlook anyone right now. The first game between these two team suggested the Niners could hang in there and give the Seahawks some resistance. A lot has changed since then, for good and bad on both sides. San Fran is coming off the bye, while Seattle is coming off the short week. I just sense Seattle having to grind to get the upper-hand in this spot, but getting enough separation late to cover the spread.

Loot's Prediction to Cover the Point Spread: I'm betting on the Seattle Seahawks minus 7 points. Tired of your credit card not working for sportsbook deposit? End that problem and bet the Seattle vs. San Francisco game today by signing up at Bovada Sportsbook where your credit card WILL work and where you'll receive a generous 50% sign-up bonus!

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