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Tennessee Titans vs. Jacksonville Point Spread - Pick

Tennessee Titans (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS)
Week 2 NFL
Date/Time: Sunday, September 17, 2017 at 1PM EST
Where: EverBank Field, Jacksonville, Florida

By Loot, NFL Football Handicapper,

Point Spread: TEN -1/JAC +1
Over/Under Total: 44

The Tennessee Titans make the trip to Florida on Sunday to take on the Jacksonville Jaguars in AFC South divisional action. Tennessee gave it a good go on Sunday, but fell short to the Oakland Raiders, 26-16, at home. It was an upsetting way to start the year for a team so hopeful to start the season, but losing to a leading conference contender isn't the end of the world perhaps. Jacksonville had a wildly successful week one, going into Houston and belting the Texans in a one-sided 29-7 beating. They look to build on that in what they hope is a breakthrough season for the Jags.

Maybe it's new head coach Doug Marrone or new VP Tom Coughlin, but the Jaguars looked like a different bunch in week one from the underachieving team of the past handful of seasons. The offense was well-managed; getting what looks like might be a big boost from running back Leonard Fournette, who ran for 100 yards in his NFL debut. And some personnel moves look to have resonated well on defense where the Jaguars dominated Houston and beat them up in a lopsided win.

Jacksonville's offense has long been handicapped by a lack of run-game. Fournette could give this offense a whole different dimension if week one is any indication. And Houston's defense isn't the easiest to put up numbers against, giving it a little extra weight. Blake Bortles was hardly electric, but he didn't need to be. He threw one TD on just 125 yards passing. Maybe this is the year where they can start to get the most out of the passing game in Jacksonville. But some bad news came down after WR Allen Robinson went down in the first quarter, with a knee injury forcing him out of action. Allen Hurns is still in there, along with Marqise Lee, who was very quiet in week one. They look to have a nice addition at tight end with James O'Shaughnessy, along with vet Marcedes Lewis. Chris Ivory also gives them a different look at running back.

We don't want to get too carried away with the Jacksonville defense. If a "D" had a game like that in week 13 or something, would it signal a revival? Still, it's hard to not get excited when seeing a 3-win team from last season run the two-time division champs out of their own building. DE Dante Fowler is turning into a difference-maker and had a sack and a fumble recovery for a TD on Sunday. Also up-front, first-year Jaguar Calais Campbell had four sacks! DE Yannick Ngakoue had two sacks and Malik Jackson had another as the Jaguars D-line ran roughshod over Houston's front. All told, the team had ten sacks. Tashaun Gipson had a pick and returned it 67 yards. The linebackers were all over the field and the secondary forced Tom Savage to lose his starting job after two quarters of play. The defense issued a massive butt-whipping on Houston. More of that playmaking, difference-making, and game-changing play will go a long way for a team that is years removed from having something to be happy about.


Again, we need to temper the disappointment in Tennessee not winning or covering the spread. Oakland has beaten a lot of teams lately and not all of them were bad. Still, they were in the game for 3 quarters and then lost touch a bit with a Raiders team that has become specialists in late-game play. There were no turnovers and Tennessee matched Oakland across the board in terms of yardage, time of possession, and first downs. But when needing a play late, they couldn't quite get it. They could make up for it with a win here. As divisional rivals, Tennessee and Jacksonville split their 2 games last season with each team winning at home.

Tennessee is dealing with some injury issues, with many of the moves they made in the offseason to improve the playmaking ability of the offense still waiting to materialize. Receivers Eric Decker and Corey Davis are working their way back. That seemed to contribute to Tennessee's inability to finish drives against Oakland. Marcus Mariota threw for 256 yards, but the offense was off-key for much of the afternoon. Decker did OK and Davis showed some signs of what might be to come, with Delanie Walker and Rishard Matthews getting the most work. DeMarco Murray didn't have a big game, but only got 12 carries. Derrick Henry is a nice option out of the backfield. With passing time and guys coming around health-wise, we should see a more-effective Tennessee offense. Making it all come together is a line that was a big part of why Tennessee added 6 wins last season to their previous season's total.

The Tennessee defense should be OK. They didn't get after Carr nearly enough on Sunday and other than back-to-back sacks by Wesley Woodyard and Derrick Morgan in the first half, they didn't get to Carr again. All told, there will be defenses that look a lot worse against Oakland than Tennessee did in week one, but a little more late-clutch could have gone a long way. Corner Adoree Jackson showed some good signs, on defense and as a return man. They are pretty solid in all facets, not exceptional perhaps, but still a big reason why Tennessee went from 3 wins in '15 to a 9-7 record last season.

Look for Jacksonville fans to be about as juiced for this home opener as they've been in a long while. That should resonate with the team, long starving for success. To beat a good rising team in Tennessee would be another great development upon which they can build. But Tennessee worked very hard last season to revive their brand and won't fall to 0-2 without a battle. But in this crazy league, sometimes you have to be ahead of the curve to stay afloat and we're going with Jacksonville.

Loot's Prediction to Cover the Point Spread: I'm betting on the Jacksonville Jaguars plus a point. Did you know... that you could be wagering on the Tennessee vs. Jacksonville game at discounted odds? There's a better than good chance that you're laying -110 odds (or more) with your book. Stop overpaying TODAY by making the switch to 5Dimes Sportsbook! You will be so glad that you did!

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