Free Sports Picks: Home CFB NBA CBB MLB MMA Boxing Super Bowl
LootMeister NFL Picks
Online SportsbooksBest Sportsbook Bonuses

Dangers of Public Consensus

NFL Betting: The Dangers of Public Consensus and Opinion

By Loot, NFL Handicapper,

Once you become an NFL bettor, you will want to set high standards for who you listen to when football is discussed. Drowning out the voices can be a stiff challenge because seemingly everyone has an opinion about it. You hear people talking football at work, at the grocery store, the bowling alley, or wherever you happen to be.

We don’t want to become snobs who feel we are above everyone when it comes to talking about the NFL. It’s just that as bettors, we are guided by a completely different set of concerns than what governs the minds of the average fan. Some of these fans may in fact have an elevated view of the game. Unless they’re successful at the act of NFL wagering, we really don’t want to hear from them.

It depends on where you are. Usually, the home team will be the topic in the air in areas close to that team’s home stadium. But when the postseason comes around, you will hear people talking about those games, as well. If it’s the week before the Super Bowl, forget about it. Drowning out the voices can be impossible.

Listen to these people talk when they discuss football and you see it’s better to ignore it sometimes. Usually, the topic involves nothing that is going to help us cover spreads. Again, we’re not out to be arrogant about it, but the general public’s football discussions can be painfully elementary. The quarterbacks get the bulk of the attention. When not discussing the QB, you will hear things about how tough a defense is or how a running back is playing really well. Most of it is not terribly insightful.

You never hear about the things we need to use to place winning wagers. Ever hear two guys at the gas station talking about line movement? Ever hear a guy at the bar point out how a team’s second receiver tends to smoke the opposing cornerback ever since their college days? Ever hear people talking about specific match-ups or how two styles of play will mesh? The answer to all of the above is no and that is also the answer to the question of whether we want to pay much attention to it.

There are certain topics in life where people feel qualified to offer an opinion before they have attained a high level of knowledge. Politics is another one of those topics where everyone has something to say, but not many really understand in depth what they’re talking about. If we were to be at a dinner party, for example, and the topic of Chinese government came up, you wouldn’t just throw stuff against the wall to see if it sticks. You would withhold speaking until your knowledge was up to par.

Football isn’t like that. It’s just one of those areas in life where people’s passion isn’t always accompanied with the requisite base of knowledge. There’s nothing wrong with it. It’s good that they’re fans. Let them talk it up. Just keep it in the forefront of your mind that following football as a fan, even if it’s on an enlightened level, is a far cry from trying to actually extract money from the sport.

Being a capable bettor does touch on some of the same things that rules the minds of fans. It just goes a lot deeper and then also bleeds into the world of football wagering itself--a whole different kettle of fish. Getting good at NFL betting requires you to become expert at the ins and outs of all the things that have to do with wagering. One surefire bet is that when you hear two guys talking about the sport at the meat section of the store, their conversation will not account for the things we need to consider when evaluating a game.

You have to go with your own guns. We’ve all made the mistake of listening to the wrong person. We can be affected when we hear someone speaking with such a supreme air of authority, “Oh, there’s no way they can lose. It’s going to be a slaughter!” That guy might be driving a new Benz and you figure he must doing something right. The mind starts playing tricks on you like this. Then you make a bet based on his assuredness. We need to maintain the confidence to drown out those voices and not be swayed by the public. Look at how the sportsbooks thrive and it’s clear that public sentiment should not become our guiding light as bettors.

Share this article with friends:

Leave a comment:

Quit wasting your hard earned money! Make the switch from -110 to -105 odds today
You'll be so glad that you did! Click Here!
Doc's Sports NFL Picks

NFL Betting

  • Reduced Juice - Loot explains how reduced odds football betting works and where you can find this valuable asset.
  • What is a Point Spread? - Many new to the game struggle to understand why one side has a (+) while the other has a (-) in front of a team. We explain what the spread is and how it works.
  • Football Bets - All the different types of wagers that you can make when betting on football games.
  • What Professional Handicappers Do - Learn the tricks of the trade and increase your odds of beating the books!
  • Key Numbers - The article that bookies don't want you to read!
  • NFL Betting Quiz - Test your football wagering prowess with Loot's 10 question quiz!
  • Super Bowl 52 Predictions - Loot gives his preseason picks for which teams are most likely to win "the big game" along with middle of the road and a longshot that is sure to surprise you!
  • 2017 NFL Season Wins Predictions - Loot breaks down every team and gives his opinion on how they'll do vs. the number!
  • 2017 NFL Bye Weeks - The first set start in Week 5 and the final byes take place in Week 11. Loot also gives tips on betting on teams coming off byes.
  • 2017 NFL Coaching Changes - We seem to be in an era where football coaches become disposable in an instant if they don't win. 2016 was no different as a handful of teams made the switch. Check out who went where right here!


  • Famous Football Players - Biographies of the best and greatest NFL football players of all-time.
  • Greatest NFL Players of All Time - A list of all time greats at each position. Each position has it's own dedicated article!
  • Best Quarterbacks of All Time - Joe Montana heads our list of top 10 QB's, however, Tom Brady is a sure bet to give him a run for his money by the time his career is said and done.
  • Best Running Backs of All Time - We list the top 10 greatest ball carriers of all-time. The order may be debatable, as Jim Brown, Barry Sanders and Walter Payton all brought something special to the gridiron.
  • Football Lingo - One must be very familiar with all of the terms, slang and jargon associated with this game to win at football betting. Find a slew of pigskin terminology right here!
  • Football Quotes - Funny and memorable sayings from around the National Football League including comments made by Vince Lombardi and John Madden.
Reduced Juice Sports Betting 100% Sportsbook Bonus Best Parlay Odds Online