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Football Betting Strategy

Welcome to Loot's football betting strategy page! Ninety-seven percent of all football bettors lose long term. If you plan to be one of the prosperous 3%, you need to have a plan. When it comes to beating the point spread, NFL betting strategy is that plan. You wouldn't go to war without a weapon, and sharp football bettors don't wager on games without knowledge in their arsenal. The articles below were written by expert sports handicappers who will save you a ton of time on the learning curve as they've taken the lumps for you. These guys all lost for years before figuring out how to properly handicap NFL games, understand line movement, use public betting percentages to their advantage and more. Football betting is a numbers game. Public perception plays a huge role in the creation of a point spread. The articles below will educate you about the psychology of football betting and increase your winning percentage, which should help YOU to be the one who gets paid each week, not the other way around! Be sure to check out the left menu for more great football betting articles offering tips and advice! Enjoy!

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The Importance of Your Lifestyle - We have all been to a sportsbook and seen the decrepit condition of most of the betting public. Betting has a way of eroding away at a person's lifestyle. Eating bad food is one thing, but there are certain behaviors that a lot of football bettors possess that can have a direct adverse affect on a bankroll. No one is saying you have to be triathalon-ready, but there are some good lifestyle tips that are simple enough and can save you a lot of money during the NFL season. Click here to read!

Benefits and Drawbacks in Betting a Game Early - In NFL football, we nearly have an entire week to get our bets together. Some bettors like to get an early jump on the action, while others wait until the last minute, as evidenced by the lines at the sportsbook right before game-time on Sunday. In this article, Loot breaks down the pros and cons on pulling the trigger on a bet early in the week. Click here!

Being Realistic - It's important to have realistic expectations when betting on football. A lot of bettors have it all mixed up and think football betting is an all-out gambling frenzy where we live and die on the results of games where we let it all hang loose. In this piece, Loot breaks down how a methodical and patient approach is really the only way to beat the bookies in football wagering. Click here!

The Affect Media Bias has on NFL Betting - If we watch a lot of coverage on NFL betting, it's possible that we can fall into a way of thinking that has no place in NFL betting. Click here to read and find out how what the media is worried about and what we need to be concerned with are very different things.

Why You Need to Watch as Many Games as Possible - While this may seem obvious, very few people take it to heart. Sportscenter highlights won't get it done either. There are MANY variables and facets of the game that can't be measured by highlights or box scores. One really needs to watch as many games as possible in order to be successful at NFL betting. Loot explains.

Keeping Good Records - We put this article near the top of this page for a reason. It's a must read! While the title is somewhat boring and many will probably pass it over, it's an article that will literally increase your winning percentage. Lots of good stuff here!

Money Management and Bankroll Strategy - If you were ever going to read an article on this site, this would rate in the top 5 that we'd hope you'd read! Many bettors, many of which could consistently beat the sperad, have come and gone over the years due to the fact that they couldn't properly manager their bankroll. Money management is the number two reason that guys flame out. Read this article, learn to be disciplined and increase your chances of getting paid by your bookie!

Betting NFL Teams off Bye Weeks - It's very common to read game analysis with notation of how rested a team will be since they're coming off of a bye week. This isn't really a variable that you can factor into your handicapping though because it's already been accounted for and the results prove it. The ATS records of teams coming off of bye weeks is likely to surprise you!

What Bookies Want You to Do - Loot points out all of the wagers and situations bookies want to suck you into and advises which bets are actually the best to play. He also gives the heads up on a simple change you can make that will increase your profits prior to even making a bet!

Betting on Teams Struggling Against the Spread - While it's human nature to want to back a winner, Loot explains that betting on teams who are doing well usually ends up backfiring and that the value ends up being with teams who have recently failed to get the money.

Handicapping Turnovers - How many times have you been sitting there with a betting ticket in your hand anxiously awaiting the completion of a game only to have your team cough up the ball and blow your cover? Then, to make matters worse, the announcer goes on to talk about your team has been excessively coughing up the ball over the past few weeks and low and behold, this wasn't a stat that you had even thought of handicapping. Loot urges readers to add this much overlooked variable to their handicapping arsenal and gives some stellar examples from the 2012 NFL season that will make your head spin!

The Opposite System - Some NFL handicappers suck so bad they actually consider fading themsleves. Loot talks about "the opposite system" here.

Football Betting Strategy: Handicapping NFL Schedules - A novice football fan sees a list of games on an NFL team's schedule. A professional football bettor sees opportunity. A team playing in a short week off of a MNF game. Thousands of miles of road travel. Etc. Employ these tactics to increase your chances of collecting from the bookie!

Teasing NFL Favorites - Loot talks strategy on how you can use a 2-team teaser as a weapon to beat the bookies. There's a reason why teaser limits are lesser than other bets offered! They're beatable if you play your cards right!

Week 17 NFL Betting Strategy - Week seventeen is surely one of the more confusing and dangerous weeks to bet on professional football games. Point spreads are out of whack with regards to perception and for good reason; each team has it's own agenda. The bookmakers know this and have reacted accordingly. It's very common to see a team that's 15-1 being a +3.5 underdog. It's also common to see one of the worst teams in the league be favored. Loot explains why.

Predicting a Letdown Spot - Throughout the NFL season, we are often left wondering why the team that looked great the last few weeks suddenly stopped playing well when we bet on it. Spend a few weeks betting on the NFL and you'll see that a team's effectiveness can vary wildly from week-to-week, seemingly without explanation. Click here and read some ideas Loot has on how to avoid a team that might be due for an off-week.

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NFL Betting

  • Reduced Juice - Loot explains how reduced odds football betting works and where you can find this valuable asset.
  • What is a Point Spread? - Many new to the game struggle to understand why one side has a (+) while the other has a (-) in front of a team. We explain what the spread is and how it works.
  • Football Bets - All the different types of wagers that you can make when betting on football games.
  • What Professional Handicappers Do - Learn the tricks of the trade and increase your odds of beating the books!
  • Key Numbers - The article that bookies don't want you to read!
  • NFL Betting Quiz - Test your football wagering prowess with Loot's 10 question quiz!
  • Super Bowl 52 Predictions - Loot gives his preseason picks for which teams are most likely to win "the big game" along with middle of the road and a longshot that is sure to surprise you!
  • 2017 NFL Season Wins Predictions - Loot breaks down every team and gives his opinion on how they'll do vs. the number!
  • 2017 NFL Bye Weeks - The first set start in Week 5 and the final byes take place in Week 11. Loot also gives tips on betting on teams coming off byes.
  • 2017 NFL Coaching Changes - We seem to be in an era where football coaches become disposable in an instant if they don't win. 2016 was no different as a handful of teams made the switch. Check out who went where right here!


  • Famous Football Players - Biographies of the best and greatest NFL football players of all-time.
  • Greatest NFL Players of All Time - A list of all time greats at each position. Each position has it's own dedicated article!
  • Best Quarterbacks of All Time - Joe Montana heads our list of top 10 QB's, however, Tom Brady is a sure bet to give him a run for his money by the time his career is said and done.
  • Best Running Backs of All Time - We list the top 10 greatest ball carriers of all-time. The order may be debatable, as Jim Brown, Barry Sanders and Walter Payton all brought something special to the gridiron.
  • Football Lingo - One must be very familiar with all of the terms, slang and jargon associated with this game to win at football betting. Find a slew of pigskin terminology right here!
  • Football Quotes - Funny and memorable sayings from around the National Football League including comments made by Vince Lombardi and John Madden.
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