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Green Bay Packers vs. Minnesota Vikings Point Spread - Pick

Green Bay Packers (4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS) vs. Minnesota Vikings (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS)
Week 6 NFL
Date/Time: Sunday, October 15, 2017 at 1PM EST
Where: U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, Minnesota
TV: Fox

By Loot, NFL Football Handicapper,

Point Spread: GB -3/MIN +3
Over/Under Total: 46.5

The Green Bay Packers make the trip to U.S. Bank Stadium to face the Minnesota Vikings in NFC North divisional action on Sunday. Green Bay emerged victorious from a slugfest with the Dallas Cowboys in week five, when Aaron Rodgers hit Davante Adams with a TD score with 11 seconds left to get the 35-31 win to go to 4-1. Minnesota is 3-2, coming off a win on MNF over the Chicago Bears when a field goal with 12 seconds left gave them the 20-17 win. Who can get the win this week in Minneapolis?

With the Vikings, there is some uncertainty at the quarterback position. Sam Bradford lasted a half in his return from knee issues on Monday and looked compromised enough that Case Keenum became the more-viable option. Keenum was 17-for-21 and brought more life to the Vikes' offense in the game's second half. Teddy Bridgewater is also getting ready to make his comeback from a bad knee injury, so the picture is a little muddled. With the gimpy knee, Bradford is not the same guy. Keenum isn't a bad option and Bridgewater's return could still require some time. Either way, with the loss of Dalvin Cook for the season and without a cemented Bradford in there, the Minnesota offense offers less promise than what was suspected at the beginning of the season.

There were a few glimpses of positivity in the Vikings' second half showing against the Bears after leading just 3-2 at the half. Keenum hit TE Kyle Rudolph for a TD pass in the third quarter, with Jerick McKinnon running in a TD from 58 yards, a big play in a game that didn't have many of them. He had 95 yards on the ground, with Latavius Murray, still bothered with an ankle, ran for 31. Keenum can be useful with his legs, as well, so maybe they can continue to run the ball well even without Cook, who had offered so much promise in his first handful of games. Receivers Stefon Diggs (questionable) and Adam Thielen have seen their productivity fall off the last few weeks. Returning Michael Floyd gives the aerial-game another option. We'll see what they can come up with, but it's just not the same as it was with a healthy Bradford behind center.

The Minnesota defense is still a dependable unit. They've given up over 19 points just once this season, while allowing just 48 in their last three games. They have been very useful against the opposing run, with Linval Joseph, Danielle Hunter, and Everson Griffen thriving up-front. On Monday, Griffen had a strip-sack that led to a field goal. In the middle, Eric Kendricks, Anthony Barr, and Ben Gedeon are pretty good. The secondary is one that can make plays, but they haven't been all that stout at times this season. Xavier Rhodes, Trae Waynes, Andrew Sendejo, and Harrison Smith are still a group that can make a difference, but against Rodgers, they will need to show a little more resistance.

Green Bay really had a back-and-forth battle with the Cowboys on Sunday. After falling behind 21-6, they worked their way back into the game. After trading scores in the fourth quarter several times, the Packers saw themselves down by 3 with just over a minute left. Rodgers moved into position and hit Davante Adams with the score with just a few ticks left. They have also gotten a boost in the run-game in the last few weeks. The secondary has also been playing well and the Packers are looking pretty good.


Aaron Rodgers is still doing his thing, one of the very elite quarterbacks in the league. He has a lot of tools with which to work. With Ty Montgomery banged up, they put rookie Aaron Jones in there and he ran for 125 yards and a touchdown on Sunday. If the run-game develops, it could give this offense another dimension. The return of Davante Adams on Sunday after that hit by Danny Trevathan was remarkable, as he caught two TD passes on Sunday. Martellus Bennett had some big catches, as he works his way into the offense. Jordy Nelson was banged up with a hamstring, but the offense put up points and delivered in a pinch with their backs against the wall on Sunday.

In week five, the Green Bay defense did give up a lot of points. And they yielded a late TD that put the victory in peril. At the same time, they were key to the win, particularly with CB Damarious Randall returning a pass for a TD in the fourth quarter. With Ha Ha Clinton-Dix providing excellent safety play, they can make a lot happen in the secondary and haven't allowed a lot of yardage this season. They get good play on all levels, though they can be vulnerable against the run at times. They don't need to be a great defense, they just need to come up with timely plays and be stout in the right spots, giving the offense a chance to take over the game. And so far this season, they've been pretty good at that.

Last season, the Packers lost to the Vikes in this building, 17-14. While one wouldn't think the Vikings are ultra-dependent on a quarterback, the efficiency of Bradford and his comfort in this offense was a big factor to their resurgence and they are now without that. That doesn't mean they can't patch it together and make it work without him or as he recovers from a bad knee. But the Packers are more who they are and could be due to flourish after a lot of close games already this season. In either case, I see another game where the points aren't all that easy to come by. We're taking the "under."

Loot's Prediction to Cover the Point Spread: I'm betting that the Packers vs. Vikings game goes under 46.5 points. Tired of your credit card not working for sportsbook deposit? End that problem today by signing up and betting the Green Bay vs. Minnesota game at Bovada Sportsbook where your credit card WILL work and where you'll receive a generous 50% sign-up bonus!

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