Free Sports Picks: Home CFB NBA CBB MLB MMA Boxing Super Bowl
LootMeister NFL Picks
Online SportsbooksBest Sportsbook Bonuses
GTBets

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Denver Broncos Point Spread - Pick

Kansas City Chiefs (4-2 SU, 3-3 ATS) vs. Denver Broncos (2-4 SU, 3-3 ATS)
Week 7 NFL
Date/Time: Thursday Night Football, October 17, 2019 at 8:20PM EST
Where: Empower Field and Mile High, Denver, Colorado
TV: Fox/NFL

By Loot, NFL Football Handicapper, Lootmeister.com

Point Spread: KC -3.5/DEN +3.5
Over/Under Total: 50

The Kansas City Chiefs come to Mile High for a week 7 AFC West showdown against the Denver Broncos. Not many would have thought that heading into this matchup, it would be the Broncos who are hot and the Chiefs who are not. But after losing two straight at home no less, the Chiefs are entering a funky period of the season where they need to right the ship. On Sunday, they fell to the Texans, 31-24. Denver, meanwhile, has won two straight after starting the season at 0-4. On Sunday, Denver held down the fort at Mile High with a dominant 16-0 win over the Titans. Who can get the upper hand this week at Mile High?

So what happened? And that question applies to both teams. The Chiefs were looking every bit the part of a Super Bowl favorite through four games. Their fourth win, a narrow win over Detroit, showed some issues, but no one worried too much because they pulled it out late with a win. To lose to Indy at home was eyebrow-raising perhaps, but to follow that with another loss at Arrowhead to the Texans means it's time to start asking some tough questions. Having Patrick Mahomes dinged up doesn't help and having to turn around on the short week after a punishing loss is a big ask. They're not running the ball very well and Mahomes being off-kilter has set the aerial attack a tad askew. A lot of moves were made on defense, with new players and a new coordinator and heading into week 7, it looks as bad as it did at any point last season.

STOP WASTING YOUR HARD EARNED MONEY! STOP LAYING -110 ODDS! START LAYING ONLY -105 TODAY ON THE CHIEFS VS. BRONCOS GAME AT THE WEB'S BEST SPORTSBOOK: 5DIMES

After going 19-for-35 with 273 and three TDs, the numbers might not paint Mahomes in such a bad light, but watching the game, it's clear that he lacks some of his old effervescence. That's not something you can bank on continuing to see, but it's a cause for definite concern. That offensive line isn't that great and isn't getting better. Not having a great back is starting to show and though LeSean McCoy can still perform, it's going to be on some weeks and off others. Scoring 37 combined points in two home games is just not characteristic of this squad. Between the injuries and deficiencies up front and in the backfield, it's been enough to make the Kansas City offense look ordinary. Getting Tyreek Hill back helps and he looked good, but something is still amiss.

The lack of explosiveness on offense has only brought the problems with the Kansas City defense more to light. On Sunday, they applied almost no pressure to Deshaun Watson. They secured three turnovers and will make plays from time to time, but lack stoutness across all areas. Watson operated with impunity and this "D" even made Carlos Hyde look like an elite back. It's been like that all season and it could be rough against Denver's running-game. The guys they had already who are good like Chris Jones (questionable) have been hurt or not very good, while the guys they got like Frank Clark and Tyrann Mathieu haven't been able to make a big impact yet.

With 36 points in their last two wins combined, the Denver offense hasn't been on fire, but it's been doing enough. Joe Flacco still has some life left in his legs. The offense won't always deliver, but against the Kansas City secondary, maybe Flacco can make a connection with Courtland Sutton, DaeSean Hamilton, Noah Fant, or a waning Emmanuel Sanders. The 1-2 running back combo punch of Phillip Lindsay and Royce Freeman has been pretty solid. Again, it's not an exciting group. You could even say it's one of the duller offenses in the league. But with the other side of the ball playing well, they've managed to not mess it up.

The Broncos defense sprung to life in a big way over the past two weeks. Giving up a combined 13 points in the last two weeks and shutting out Tennessee says a lot. Granted, the Chargers' offense is not in full-flight, while there is a certain amount of dysfunction amidst with the Titans' offense. Still, with Chris Harris, Jr., Kareem Jackson, Justin Simmons, and others, the secondary has been really good as of late. And despite losing Bradley Chubb, the pass-rush led by Von Miller has continued being effective. And a run-defense that was beleaguered at times early this season has tightened up, keeping both the Chargers and Titans in check the last two weeks.

It's an interesting conundrum. Denver is surging and for whatever it's worth, they played the Chiefs tight twice last season, losing by 7 at Arrowhead and by only four at Mile High. One would expect a pretty urgent Chiefs team this week. A loss to the Broncos would signify at least a mini-crisis. As of now, a lot of teams would like to be 4-2 and in control of their division. So maybe they can start now, stop the bleeding, and get back to the business of being an AFC powerhouse. While I don't think the short week or the altitude helps, I see Kansas City maybe not exploding, but doing enough to stabilize the situation, getting the win and cover in Denver.

Loot's Prediction to Cover the Point Spread: I'm betting on the Kansas City Chiefs minus 3.5 points. Bet the Kansas City-Denver game for FREE by taking advantage of a massive 100% sign-up bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $500 at GTBets!

Share this article with friends:

Leave a comment:

SAVE BIG MONEY BY BETTING AT -105 REDUCED ODDS!
Quit wasting your hard earned money! Make the switch from -110 to -105 odds today
You'll be so glad that you did! Click Here!
Doc's Sports NFL Picks

NFL Betting

  • Reduced Juice - Loot explains how reduced odds football betting works and where you can find this valuable asset.
  • What is a Point Spread? - Many new to the game struggle to understand why one side has a (+) while the other has a (-) in front of a team. We explain what the spread is and how it works.
  • Football Bets - All the different types of wagers that you can make when betting on football games.
  • What Professional Handicappers Do - Learn the tricks of the trade and increase your odds of beating the books!
  • Key Numbers - The article that bookies don't want you to read!
  • NFL Betting Quiz - Test your football wagering prowess with Loot's 10 question quiz!
  • Super Bowl 52 Predictions - Loot gives his preseason picks for which teams are most likely to win "the big game" along with middle of the road and a longshot that is sure to surprise you!
  • 2017 NFL Season Wins Predictions - Loot breaks down every team and gives his opinion on how they'll do vs. the number!
  • 2017 NFL Bye Weeks - The first set start in Week 5 and the final byes take place in Week 11. Loot also gives tips on betting on teams coming off byes.
  • 2017 NFL Coaching Changes - We seem to be in an era where football coaches become disposable in an instant if they don't win. 2016 was no different as a handful of teams made the switch. Check out who went where right here!

MISC.

  • Famous Football Players - Biographies of the best and greatest NFL football players of all-time.
  • Greatest NFL Players of All Time - A list of all time greats at each position. Each position has it's own dedicated article!
  • Best Quarterbacks of All Time - Joe Montana heads our list of top 10 QB's, however, Tom Brady is a sure bet to give him a run for his money by the time his career is said and done.
  • Best Running Backs of All Time - We list the top 10 greatest ball carriers of all-time. The order may be debatable, as Jim Brown, Barry Sanders and Walter Payton all brought something special to the gridiron.
  • Football Lingo - One must be very familiar with all of the terms, slang and jargon associated with this game to win at football betting. Find a slew of pigskin terminology right here!
  • Football Quotes - Funny and memorable sayings from around the National Football League including comments made by Vince Lombardi and John Madden.
Reduced Juice Sports Betting 100% Sportsbook Bonus Best Parlay Odds Online