Free Sports Picks: Home CFB NBA CBB MLB MMA Boxing Super Bowl
LootMeister NFL Picks
Online SportsbooksBest Sportsbook Bonuses
GTBets

Making Big Wagers in Big Games

NFL Betting: Making Big Wagers in Big Games

By Loot, NFL Handicapper, Lootmeister.com

When we are betting on NFL football, we need to bet the same amount on all the games. That seems like basic and overstated advice, as you will hear that time and again whenever football wagering is discussed. But it really bears repeating. A lot of betting men make the mistake of betting bigger when the games are more important. Remember, we're not on the team. Just because the players, coaches, and fans are putting everything into the game doesn't mean we should follow suit.

It can be hard for a bettor to put in all into perspective. Each game is an opportunity to beat the spread. We maintain high standards and make our picks the best we can. Regardless of how hyped a game is, it should be looked at as simply another game that we may or may not bet. The fact that it is a big game is something that affects the players and their fans. The betting man has to be above that.

For the players, a week two game will just not have the same importance as a playoff game. But for us, it's really the same thing. Just because the stakes are higher for the team does not mean we should increase our stakes. A lot of guys who had good seasons betting get sideways during the postseason. They see that instead of 15 NFL games on the board, there are only a few. That shouldn't be an invitation to go hog-wild.

A lot of bettors will more heavily weigh playoff games. Perhaps a bettor bets an average of $1000 a week on NFL games, about $200 a game. Now that it's the postseason, he might keep bet his normal weekly allotment on one game. It's like he thinks he's in the playoffs!

Not that there aren't bettors who do extremely well in the postseason, but on paper, it's really the worst time to start increasing bet size. NFL lines are known to be among the toughest in the sports betting industry. And that's just in the regular season, where there are over a dozen games for the oddsmakers to sort out. In the postseason, there are far fewer games and they have the full and undivided attention of the best in the business. Those postseason spreads can be extremely tough.

So why double or triple bet amounts at that point? When the value is at its hardest to come by, that would seem like the last time a person would want to get involved. Do shoppers flood the stores when the prices are at their highest? Of course they don't. So why do bettors go so big at the betting window when the value is as its worse? Doesn't make sense, does it?

This is a good way to determine if a bettor is truly serious or if he's more of a thrill-seeking type of betting man. A serious betting man is all about value. He is not looking to have a stake in the glamorous games, he's looking to make money. A guy who has been showing profits over the course of years does not bet according to how popular an event is.

DEPOSIT $100 AND GET $50 FREE AT ONE OF THE WEB'S OLDEST SPORTSBOOKS: BOVADA SPORTSBOOK

The sage betting man knows that the more an event is hyped, the worse of a proposition it actually becomes. He sits there shaking his head as the bettors pour into the book trying to slug it out with the oddsmakers when they're at their best. A bettor who is concerned with value would be more likely to go big in a preseason game, where soft spreads can be exploited, as opposed to a postseason line that leaves little to be desired.

It's understandable why bettors flock the windows in the postseason. Some of this enthusiasm comes from a good place. After all, you're at least betting on teams you can figure will be at their best, or at least feeling the urgency more than in the regular season. You may figure that it's the safer bet, being that the peaks and valleys you see from a team in midseason are not as likely to manifest in a playoff game. But remember, the other team has the same thing going for them as well and it sorta cancels out. At the end of the day, making your biggest bets of the year when the lines are the toughest and the value is at it's worse is just not a good idea in the long run.

Share this article with friends:

Leave a comment:

SAVE BIG MONEY BY BETTING AT -105 REDUCED ODDS!
Quit wasting your hard earned money! Make the switch from -110 to -105 odds today
You'll be so glad that you did! Click Here!
Doc's Sports NFL Picks

NFL Betting

  • Reduced Juice - Loot explains how reduced odds football betting works and where you can find this valuable asset.
  • What is a Point Spread? - Many new to the game struggle to understand why one side has a (+) while the other has a (-) in front of a team. We explain what the spread is and how it works.
  • Football Bets - All the different types of wagers that you can make when betting on football games.
  • What Professional Handicappers Do - Learn the tricks of the trade and increase your odds of beating the books!
  • Key Numbers - The article that bookies don't want you to read!
  • NFL Betting Quiz - Test your football wagering prowess with Loot's 10 question quiz!
  • Super Bowl 52 Predictions - Loot gives his preseason picks for which teams are most likely to win "the big game" along with middle of the road and a longshot that is sure to surprise you!
  • 2017 NFL Season Wins Predictions - Loot breaks down every team and gives his opinion on how they'll do vs. the number!
  • 2017 NFL Bye Weeks - The first set start in Week 5 and the final byes take place in Week 11. Loot also gives tips on betting on teams coming off byes.
  • 2017 NFL Coaching Changes - We seem to be in an era where football coaches become disposable in an instant if they don't win. 2016 was no different as a handful of teams made the switch. Check out who went where right here!

MISC.

  • Famous Football Players - Biographies of the best and greatest NFL football players of all-time.
  • Greatest NFL Players of All Time - A list of all time greats at each position. Each position has it's own dedicated article!
  • Best Quarterbacks of All Time - Joe Montana heads our list of top 10 QB's, however, Tom Brady is a sure bet to give him a run for his money by the time his career is said and done.
  • Best Running Backs of All Time - We list the top 10 greatest ball carriers of all-time. The order may be debatable, as Jim Brown, Barry Sanders and Walter Payton all brought something special to the gridiron.
  • Football Lingo - One must be very familiar with all of the terms, slang and jargon associated with this game to win at football betting. Find a slew of pigskin terminology right here!
  • Football Quotes - Funny and memorable sayings from around the National Football League including comments made by Vince Lombardi and John Madden.
Reduced Juice Sports Betting 100% Sportsbook Bonus Best Parlay Odds Online