Free Sports Picks: Home CFB CBB MLB MMA Boxing Super Bowl
LootMeister NFL Picks
Online SportsbooksBest Sportsbook Bonuses
GTBets

New Orleans Saints vs. San Diego Chargers Point Spread - Pick

New Orleans Saints (0-3 SU, 1-2 ATS) vs. San Diego Chargers (1-2 SU, 2-1 ATS)
Week 4 NFL
Date/Time: Sunday, October 2, 2016 at 4:25PM EST
Where: Qualcomm Stadium, San Diego, California
TV: Fox

By Loot, NFL Football Handicapper, Lootmeister.com

Betting Odds: NO +3.5/SD -3.5
Over/Under Total: 53.5

The New Orleans Saints come to Qualcomm Stadium to face the San Diego Chargers on Sunday. Neither team had a particularly pleasant week three. The Chargers found a way to lose another game, with the Colts scoring a late TD to win, 26-22. The Saints didn't see it go much better for them, as they fell to a disheartening 0-3 after losing 45-32 to the Atlanta Falcons at home on Monday Night Football. Now on the short week, they have to trek out to San Diego in a game where they'll be out of their element, except for Drew Brees, who once starred on this Chargers' offense.

The Chargers are snake-bitten in more than one way. They should be 3-0, finding a way to lose two games already for a variety of reasons with most of them being silly. They actually have a lot of promise, just with very little follow-through. For them, a good story will turn bad at a rate that exceeds just about any team in sports. As if that's not enough, they have been hit so bad by the injury bug in the first three games—a problem that has plagued this team for the last few seasons. They lost Keenan Allen and Danny Woodhead in two straight weeks, with that pair being Philip Rivers' most valuable weapons. Then S Jahleel Addae went down, before LB Manti Te'o was lost for the season with a torn Achilles in Sunday's game. Throw in a bunch of banged-up players and we're seeing the same things that derailed the Chargers over the past few seasons. Against the Colts, every time you looked at the TV, a different Chargers player was sprawled out on the field. It's uncanny how bad it can get with this team.

Yet, they remain dangerous. Philip Rivers soldiers through untold amounts of issues all around him and continues to somehow produce. He's getting help from RB Melvin Gordon, who looks infinitely better in his second NFL season. He scored another TD on Sunday. Getting Antonio Gates in there would help, as he was inactive on Sunday. Rookie Hunter Henry is the heir-apparent and has shown signs of life, though a fumble on the final San Diego drive deprived Rivers of a last-gasp shot to win the game against the Colts. Still, with Travis Benjamin stepping up in the pass-game, along with the emergence of Tyrell Williams, can maybe help. Getting Dexter McCluster is promising, though no NFL team seems to be able to get him in the right spots where he can thrive. Maybe he can make an impact in SD.

The San Diego defense had shown a lot of promise in spots this season. But injuries threaten to make this unit ordinary. Loisng Te'o is a big loss, with a lot of players dealing with nagging issues. Corner Jason Verrett took a bad hit on his leg, with the other corner Brandon Flowers looking to have suffered a possible concussion. What was looking like the best Chargers secondary in quite a while is now pretty banged-up, not good with Drew Brees coming into town. With Denzel Perryman leaving the game on Sunday with Teo now out, the middle looks compromised after showing such promise. It's really a shame.

One thing that would really help is some better coaching when things are actually going well. When the Chargers have any kind of lead, they start playing a very reserved style of football, designed to eliminate mistakes. And by the end of the day, what they try to prevent ends up happening, with what seems like the almost-inevitable comeback. It didn't work for Norv Turner and it's not working for Mike McCoy. It's like when you're in a casino, the guy who looks like losing $20 will ruin his life never wins, it's the guy who lets it swing from the hip that succeeds. That might not exactly capture the dynamic here, but it sort of explains what happens to this team multiple times a season in games they should be winning.

The Saints have their own issues and it's not offense with erstwhile Drew Brees still a handful. After a long run without a pick, he tossed one that was returned for a TD on MNF in the loss to the Falcons. Brees still had 376 yards and knows what it's like to put up big numbers at Qualcomm Stadium. RB Mark Ingram had a good game with 77 yards rushing, 4 catches, and a receiving TD. Tight end Coby Fleener was over 100 yards with a TD grab. The younger receivers are starting to step up, with rookie Michael Thomas making a TD grab, Brandon Coleman hauling in 7 grabs, and 5'6" sparkplug Tommylee Lewis getting involved. Willie Snead has become a top Brees target. All in all, they had 474 yards of offense. Alas, the issue is on the other side of the ball.

QUIT THROWING AWAY YOUR HARD EARNED LOOT! BET ON THE SAINTS VS. CHARGERS GAME AT DISCOUNTED ODDS -105 TODAY AT 5DIMES

The Saints have a big problem with a defense that simply is not up to NFL standards. They can maybe deliver an OK performance from time to time, as they did in week 2 by holding the Giants to 16 points. Against Atlanta at home in a big MNF game, they were hopeless. They gave up 7 yards per run, with Devonta Freeman going nuts on the ground and through the air. RB Tevin Coleman scored three touchdowns. They let Atlanta score five touchdowns on a robust 7 red-zone visits. And even when the Saints' offense threatened to make it interesting, the defense wouldn't allow it to happen, as they kept on giving up points.

This could be a good spot for San Diego, but anyone who has dealt with them extensively knows they're not always the bargain they're cracked up to be. With a defense that is suddenly getting bit by the injury bug, it's not all that hard to envision the Saints getting some business done. But even a San Diego offense without its key weapons, they should be able to thrive in this spot and pull away late for the win and cover.

Loot's Prediction to Cover the Point Spread: I'm betting on the San Diego Chargers minus 3.5 points. Tired of your credit card not working for sportsbook deposit? End that problem today and bet the New Orleans vs. San Diego game from the comfort of your home by signing up at Bovada Sportsbook where your credit card WILL work and where you'll receive a generous 100% sign-up bonus!

Share this article with friends:

Leave a comment:

SAVE BIG MONEY BY BETTING AT -105 REDUCED ODDS!
Quit wasting your hard earned money! Make the switch from -110 to -105 odds today
You'll be so glad that you did! Click Here!
Doc's Sports NFL Picks

NFL Betting

  • Reduced Juice - Loot explains how reduced odds football betting works and where you can find this valuable asset.
  • What is a Point Spread? - Many new to the game struggle to understand why one side has a (+) while the other has a (-) in front of a team. We explain what the spread is and how it works.
  • Football Bets - All the different types of wagers that you can make when betting on football games.
  • What Professional Handicappers Do - Learn the tricks of the trade and increase your odds of beating the books!
  • Key Numbers - The article that bookies don't want you to read!
  • NFL Betting Quiz - Test your football wagering prowess with Loot's 10 question quiz!
  • Super Bowl 51 Futures Bets - Loot examines potential plays that pay!
  • Super Bowl Predictions - Loot gives his preseason picks for which teams are most likely to win "the big game" along with middle of the road and a longshot that is sure to surprise you!
  • 2016 NFL Season Wins Predictions - Loot breaks down every team and gives his opinion on how they'll do vs. the number!
  • 2016 NFL Bye Weeks - The first set start in Week 4 and the final byes take place in Week 13. Loot also gives tips on betting on teams coming off byes.
  • 2016 NFL Coaching Changes - We seem to be in an era where football coaches become disposable in an instant if they don't win. 2015 was no different as 5 teams made the switch. Check out who went where right here!

MISC.

  • Famous Football Players - Biographies of the best and greatest NFL football players of all-time.
  • Greatest NFL Players of All Time - A list of all time greats at each position. Each position has it's own dedicated article!
  • Best Quarterbacks of All Time - Joe Montana heads our list of top 10 QB's, however, Tom Brady is a sure bet to give him a run for his money by the time his career is said and done.
  • Best Running Backs of All Time - We list the top 10 greatest ball carriers of all-time. The order may be debatable, as Jim Brown, Barry Sanders and Walter Payton all brought something special to the gridiron.
  • Football Lingo - One must be very familiar with all of the terms, slang and jargon associated with this game to win at football betting. Find a slew of pigskin terminology right here!
  • Football Quotes - Funny and memorable sayings from around the National Football League including comments made by Vince Lombardi and John Madden.

Other Great Sites

  • Predictem - Weekly NFL picks from one of the most knowledgeable sports handicappers on the web. Tons of great football betting advice articles here too!
Reduced Juice Sports Betting 100% Sportsbook Bonus Best Parlay Odds Online