Free Sports Picks: Home CFB CBB MLB MMA Boxing Super Bowl
LootMeister NFL Picks
Online SportsbooksBest Sportsbook Bonuses

Tennessee Titans vs. Indianapolis Colts Point Spread - Pick

Tennessee Titans (5-5 SU, 4-6 ATS) vs. Indianapolis Colts (4-5 SU, 4-4-1 ATS)
Week 11 NFL
Date/Time: Sunday, November 20, 2016 at 1PM EST
Where: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, Indiana

By Loot, NFL Football Handicapper,

Betting Odds: TEN +3/IND -3
Over/Under Total: 52.5

The Tennessee Titans come to Lucas Oil Stadium to face the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday in AFC South action. The Titans smoked the Packers, 47-25, on Sunday and are now 5-5, equaling their combined win total from the last two seasons. They look to avenge a week 7 loss to the Colts, when Indy beat them in Nashville, 34-26. Indy is also coming off a win over the Packers, but they had a bye last week and at 4-5, they need to start putting together some positive developments before the season gets away from them. As of now, they're looking up at both Tennessee and Houston.

Things are starting to come together for the 5-win Titans. They've gotten a big boost offensively from different sources. The addition of DeMarco Murray has given them a true threat on that side of the ball. Marcus Mariota's development has been sharp, as he has become a more reliable and efficient presence behind center. And contributions of guys like rookie receiver Tajae Sharpe, rookie back Derrick Henry, and first-year Titans receiver Rishard Matthews have been instrumental. They're the 7th overall-ranked offense and third in rushing. And it's important to put it into perspective, as we're talking about a team that couldn't get much of anything right with a 5-27 record in the past two years headed into this season.

On Sunday against Green Bay, the Titans looked really good on offense with a 47-point output. Mariota has been really on-the-money in recent weeks and was 19-for-26 on Sunday with 4 TD passes and no picks. Murray ran for 123 yards and had 33 in the air. He ran in a 75-yard touchdown and again, gives the Titans game-breaking ability. He even threw a TD on a trick play. Anthony Fasano, Kendall Wright, Sharpe, Walker, and Matthews all caught TDs on the day. We also see an O-line that is beginning to become a respected unit, keeping Mariota out of trouble, while playing a big role in making the Titans such a force on the ground.

Defensively, Tennessee lags behind the offense in terms of effectiveness and growth. They're a little leaky against the pass, which has led to giving up over an average of 25 points per game, a bit on the long side for an NFL defense. They've only recovered three fumbles this season and they haven't scored defensively. But they have some playmaking ability, while also having been clutch in a lot of different spots this season. Brian Orakpo has nine sacks, with Derrick Morgan having registered 6.5 this season. Perrish Cox has three picks, while Jason McCourty has been also making plays in the secondary. While not the stoutest of defenses, they're better than they look on paper.

Now would be a good time for the Colts to make a move. The bye week hopefully served as a time for them to collect themselves for a run. But a week doesn't cure some of the issues they have. They opened the season 0-2 and have alternated wins and losses since then en route to a 4-5 mark. But they got healthier and with some guys like safety Mike Adams, OL Jake Mewhort, and others getting back on the practice field. With Houston's position atop the AFC South tenuous, the Colts look to make a push and they proceed without much margin for error.

The Colts' offense has shown flashes without really ever being consistent this season on this side of the ball. A shaky O-line hasn't really helped, with the better fronts they've faced having slapped this group around. They have allowed Andrew Luck to get sacked 33 times, while being a big part of why the Colts run-game sometimes struggles. Frank Gore is getting old, but can still make things happen even with a ramshackle line opening holes for him. Luck is still prolific, but has seen injuries and youngsters not blossoming hurt him. TY Hilton is still doing his thing without a ton of help. Jack Doyle has become a reliable force at tight end, but shouldn't be the team's second-leading receiver. Donte Moncrief is working his way back from injury, so that's a good sign. Wide receiver Phillip Dorsett's development has been slow, though he's far from being the only one under-performing on this offense.


The Indy defense is a major roadblock to success—29th in points allowed, 30th in total defense, and 31st against the pass. The pass-rush has been negligible, while they've only picked off three passes all season. Sure, injuries have hurt and they can sometimes play over the head, especially when the offense is clicking. But they're not what you would call a bankable defense. And with Murray and a diversified aerial attack, Tennessee looks to do some damage against this group this week.

Luck did put up 353 yards and three touchdowns against Tennessee less than a month ago. With Moncrief back, we could see even more of that, as both Hilton and Doyle took to flight in that game, along with some nice runs by Gore along the way. And this was on the road. After a week off and Tennessee on a draining run of games, one could envision rather easily the Colts having a decent week. But Tennessee has worked like dogs to get to this spot and won't be separated easily from this newfound good feeling. I see both offenses having success, with Indy crossing the finish line ahead. I'll take the home team.

Loot's Prediction to Cover the Point Spread: I'm betting on the Indianapolis Colts minus 3 points. Tired of your credit card not working for sportsbook deposit? End that problem today by signing up and betting the Tennessee vs. Indy game at Bovada Sportsbook where your credit card WILL work and where you'll receive a generous 100% sign-up bonus!

Share this article with friends:

Leave a comment:

Quit wasting your hard earned money! Make the switch from -110 to -105 odds today
You'll be so glad that you did! Click Here!
Doc's Sports NFL Picks

NFL Betting

  • Reduced Juice - Loot explains how reduced odds football betting works and where you can find this valuable asset.
  • What is a Point Spread? - Many new to the game struggle to understand why one side has a (+) while the other has a (-) in front of a team. We explain what the spread is and how it works.
  • Football Bets - All the different types of wagers that you can make when betting on football games.
  • What Professional Handicappers Do - Learn the tricks of the trade and increase your odds of beating the books!
  • Key Numbers - The article that bookies don't want you to read!
  • NFL Betting Quiz - Test your football wagering prowess with Loot's 10 question quiz!
  • Super Bowl 52 Predictions - Loot gives his preseason picks for which teams are most likely to win "the big game" along with middle of the road and a longshot that is sure to surprise you!
  • 2017 NFL Season Wins Predictions - Loot breaks down every team and gives his opinion on how they'll do vs. the number!
  • 2017 NFL Bye Weeks - The first set start in Week 5 and the final byes take place in Week 11. Loot also gives tips on betting on teams coming off byes.
  • 2017 NFL Coaching Changes - We seem to be in an era where football coaches become disposable in an instant if they don't win. 2016 was no different as a handful of teams made the switch. Check out who went where right here!


  • Famous Football Players - Biographies of the best and greatest NFL football players of all-time.
  • Greatest NFL Players of All Time - A list of all time greats at each position. Each position has it's own dedicated article!
  • Best Quarterbacks of All Time - Joe Montana heads our list of top 10 QB's, however, Tom Brady is a sure bet to give him a run for his money by the time his career is said and done.
  • Best Running Backs of All Time - We list the top 10 greatest ball carriers of all-time. The order may be debatable, as Jim Brown, Barry Sanders and Walter Payton all brought something special to the gridiron.
  • Football Lingo - One must be very familiar with all of the terms, slang and jargon associated with this game to win at football betting. Find a slew of pigskin terminology right here!
  • Football Quotes - Funny and memorable sayings from around the National Football League including comments made by Vince Lombardi and John Madden.

Other Great Sites

  • Predictem - Weekly NFL picks from one of the most knowledgeable sports handicappers on the web. Tons of great football betting advice articles here too!
Reduced Juice Sports Betting 100% Sportsbook Bonus Best Parlay Odds Online